globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6028205
论文题名:
亚洲季风的多尺度变化规律及其与全球气候变化的关系
其他题名: Asian monsoon variability on multiple timescales in the context of global climate changes
作者: 宗保云; 李向磊; 杜文静; 沙丽娟; 李瀚瑛
刊名: 地球环境学报
ISSN: 1674-9901
出版年: 2017
卷: 8, 期:3, 页码:316-322
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 亚洲季风 ; 变化规律 ; 全球气候变化
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 在科技部973计划和国家自然科学基金委的资助下,西安交通大学全球环境变化研究院程海教授带领研究团队利用中国、印度、乌兹别克斯坦等地的洞穴石笋,重建了目前全球最长的,有绝对年代控制的高分辨率亚洲季风和中亚核心区气候变化的石笋记录,深入研究了不同时间尺度上亚洲季风的变化规律、影响机制及其与全球气候变化的关系。直接验证了10万年的冰期循环是45个岁差周期的平均,发现了高低纬气候系统之间的简洁关系,进一步证实亚洲季风与太阳辐射变化在岁差尺度上没有显著的相位差,揭示了亚洲季风与西风带气候模态之间的耦合分异,研究了历史时期百到十年尺度的季风降水变化并尝试预估未来变化趋势。以上成果为全球气候变化研究提供了重要标尺,加强了对于气候系统相互作用、强迫因子及其响应机制的理解,为全球气候事件研究和模拟工作提供了重要的新线索,也为相关政府部门制定水资源的长期规划提供了科学依据。
英文摘要: With the support of the Ministry of Science and Technology and the National Natural Science Foundation of China, a research team led by Prof. Hai Cheng at the Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xian Jiaotong University, have now extended the Chinese cave delta~(18)O record to cover the full uranium/thorium dating range, the past 640000 years. The new composite record provides an unprecedented characterization of Asian monsoon variability on a wide range of timescales. The comparison of the monsoon record to marine and polar ice core records reveals that the terminations during the past 640000 years are indeed separated by four or five precession cycles, thus confirming the idea that the 100000-year ice age cycle is an average of discrete numbers of precession cycles. Furthermore, since the cave delta~(18)O variability closely follows boreal summer insolation, removal of insolation component from the Chinese delta~(18)O record generates a residual cave record. By design, the residual record contains a history of suborbital-scale variations of Asian monsoon as well as of as any additional orbital-scale variability that does not correlate with boreal summer insolation. The analysis of residual record suggests the monsoon rainfall variability on a suborbital timescale exhibits a striking similarity to detrended Antarctic temperature variancea result demonstrating a natural simplicity. The spectral powers of the residual record show significant precession and obliquity signals that are much stronger than eccentricity signal and nearly anti-phased with summer boreal insolation and Antarctic temperature. These observations indicate that insolation, in part, sets the pace of the occurrence of millennial-scale events, including those associated with terminations and unfinished terminations and thus provide new insight into the longstanding classic issue, the 100 ka problem. Another salient aspect of their studies is it reinforces the idea that temporal variations in Chinese and Indian cave delta~(18)O records follows the boreal summer insolation closely. They explained this observation in terms of changes in spatially integrated monsoon rainfall between the tropical monsoon sources and the cave site. As such, their finding supports the classic prediction by John Kutzbach ~35 years ago that monsoon rainfall should respond to changes in summer solar insolation. The new record also characterized for the first time the Asian monsoon variance during the MIS 11 and suggested that the monsoon has increased overall in an anomalous fashion relative to the downward trend in boreal summer insolation in the past 2 ka, manifesting a 2-ka shift with a possible mechanism similar to millennial-scale events observed throughout much of the past several hundred thousand years. These results provide a new view regarding the Holocene climate variations. In addition, the research show that the supra-regional climate variance in Westerly Central Asia exhibits a precessional rhythm, punctuated by millennial-scale abrupt climate events, suggesting a close coupling with the Asian monsoon, while the local hydroclimatic variability at the cave sites shows climate variations that are distinctly different from their supra-regional modes. These observations reconcile the apparent out-of-phase hydroclimatic variability, inferred from the Holocene lake proxy records, between Westerly Central Asia and Monsoon Asia.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152265
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作者单位: 西安交通大学全球环境变化研究院, 西安, 陕西 710054, 中国

Recommended Citation:
宗保云,李向磊,杜文静,等. 亚洲季风的多尺度变化规律及其与全球气候变化的关系[J]. 地球环境学报,2017-01-01,8(3):316-322
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