globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5964910
论文题名:
1961-2015年新疆降水及干旱特征分析
其他题名: Precipitation and drought characteristics in Xinjiang during 1961-2015
作者: 谢培1; 顾艳玲2; 张玉虎1; 向柳1
刊名: 干旱区地理
ISSN: 1000-6060
出版年: 2017
卷: 40, 期:2, 页码:3337-3346
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 标准化降水指数 ; 降水距平百分率 ; K-means聚类 ; 新疆
英文关键词: standardized precipitation index(SPI) ; precipitation anomaly(Pa) ; K-means cluster ; Xinjiang
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 基于1961-2015年新疆地区51个气象站过去55 a逐日降水资料,借助标准化降水指数、降水距平百分率表征干旱,利用线性趋势,K-means聚类,Mann-Kendall非参数检验,Morlet小波分析等方法,分析过去55 a降水及干旱变化特征。研究表明:(1)过去55 a新疆降水量、雨日整体呈上升趋势,相关系数为0.83,降水量增加主要表现为雨日增长;降水空间分布和聚类得出,降水呈现显著北多南少格局,3个降水分区的降水量表现为III区>II区>I区。(2)干旱指数SPI、降水距平Pa极显著相关,干旱频次、影响范围、严重性总体呈现下降趋势;干旱变化率空间分布整体存在一致性,由南向北干旱缓解趋势增大,但局域上又有异质性,北疆个别站点干旱加剧;(3)干旱变化具有周期性,主周期为8 a,次主周期为4 a、16 a。
英文摘要: Drought is a natural phenomenon whose occurrence is linked to a sustained lack of precipitation. When a lack of precipitation causes a substantial hydrological imbalance,there is a drought event. Recently,the consideration of global warming has been paid more attention,the northwest China is very sensitive to the climate change. Therefore,more and more meteorologists are attracted to study droughts. By using linear regression, K-means,Mann-Kendall nonparametric statistical test and Morlet-Wave analysis,the characteristics of precipitation and drought in the target area were analyzed based on long-term(1961-2015)daily precipitation data from 51 meteorological stations. The results show an uptrend on precipitation and rainy days over the past 55 years,and the correlation analysis indicates that the increase rainy day mainly caused the increase in precipitation. Regional precipitation characteristic was obtained by K-means cluster,the precipitation in mountainous area (III cluster)was much higher than that in north Xinjiang(II cluster),and south Xinjiang(I cluster). Also,the relationships between elevation and precipitation in both north and south Xinjiang were analyzed respectively. It revealed only significant correlation in north Xinjiang. Furthermore,correlation analysis shows that SPI and Pa were significantly correlated and there was a downward trend in drought frequency,scope and severity. The spatio- temporal variation of drought relief showed an increasing trend from south to north throughout the target area, but there was some heterogeneity at local scales,drought became more severe at some individual sites in north Xinjiang. Three periodic oscillation of droughts were found,including 4-year period,8-year period and 16-year period;8-years period was dominant.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152430
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.首都师范大学资源环境与旅游学院, 北京 100048, 中国
2.中国水利水电科学研究院, 北京 100038, 中国

Recommended Citation:
谢培,顾艳玲,张玉虎,等. 1961-2015年新疆降水及干旱特征分析[J]. 干旱区地理,2017-01-01,40(2):3337-3346
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[谢培]'s Articles
[顾艳玲]'s Articles
[张玉虎]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[谢培]'s Articles
[顾艳玲]'s Articles
[张玉虎]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[谢培]‘s Articles
[顾艳玲]‘s Articles
[张玉虎]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.