globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5897501
论文题名:
近50 a来黄土高原地区暖冬现象的气候特征
其他题名: Climate Change in Warm Winter over the Loess Plateau during the Period of 1965 -2014
作者: 李会霞; 史兴民
刊名: 干旱区研究
ISSN: 1001-4675
出版年: 2017
卷: 34, 期:1, 页码:335-349
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 冬季 ; 气温 ; 暖冬指数 ; 暖冬频率 ; 黄土高原
英文关键词: winter ; temperature ; warm winter index ; frequency of warm winter ; Loess Plateau
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用黄土高原19652014年冬季气温观测数据,根据中国国家标准《暖冬等级》中单站、区域暖冬等级标准,综合采用反距离加权插值、Mann-Kendall突变分析与小波分析等方法,分析黄土高原近50 a冬季平均气温的变化趋势及单站暖冬、区域暖冬事件的气候变化特征。结果表明:近50 a来黄土高原冬季平均气温呈上升趋势,升幅为0.07 ~ 0.695 ℃·(10a)~(-1), 尤其近30 a升温显著,进入相对暖期,中部地区升温最显著,西部、南部地区升温较低;黄土高原单站暖冬指数呈现上升趋势,升幅为0.07 ~ 0.70 ℃·(10a)~(-1), 中部大部分地区暖冬指数增幅最大,南部地区次之,西部地区增幅最小;各站点暖冬频率在40% ~ 63%,强暖冬频率在13% ~ 53%,单站暖冬频率呈中、西部高,东南边缘地区低的特点;区域暖冬指数呈上升趋势,增长幅度为11.8%·(10a)~(-1), 共发生17次区域暖冬, 6次区域强暖冬,区域暖冬事件以9 a为第一主周期,4 a为第二主周期;单站暖冬、区域暖冬均主要发生在20世纪80年代中后期,尤其在90年代末至21世纪初。
英文摘要: Based on the monthly average temperature data over the Loess Plateau during the period from 1964 to 2014, the variation trend of winter mean temperature over the plateau in recent 50 years was analyzed using the methods of statistical analysis and Mann-kendall mutation analysis. According to the warm winter grades of China national standard referred to those at single stations and the regional warm winter grade standards, the warm winters for single stations were divided into two grades designated as theweek warm wintersandstrong warm winters, and the regional warm winters were analyzed based on the warm winters at single stations. In accordance with these standards, the warm winters were analyzed using the methods of Inverse distance weighted interpolation,wavelet analysis, etc. The results showed that the mean temperature in winter was increased with a rate of 0.07 - 0.695 ℃·(10a)~(-1) in recent half century,especially in recent 30 years, it was significantly warming up over the Loess Plateau,and it entered a relatively warm period. The temperature increase was the highest over the central Loess Plateau,but relatively low in the west and south. There was an obvious increase trend of warm winter index with rates of 0.07 - 0.70 ℃·(10a)~(-1) for single stations. The increase of warm winter index was the highest in the most of the central area, it was followed by the south area and was the lowest in the west area. The frequencies of warm winters and strong warm winters at single stations varied in ranges of 40% - 63% and 13% - 53%, respectively. The warm winter frequency at single stations was high in the central and western regions but low in the southeast marginal zone. Regional warm winter index was in an obvious increase trend with a rate of 11.8% · (10a)~(-1). There were 17 regional warm winters and 6 regional strong warm winters in recent 50 years. Moreover, there were 4 - and 9 - year periodic variations of regional warm winter, the warm winters occurred mainly in the period from the mid-to late - 1980s,especially in the period from late - 1990s to the early 21th century.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152452
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院, 西安, 陕西 710062, 中国

Recommended Citation:
李会霞,史兴民. 近50 a来黄土高原地区暖冬现象的气候特征[J]. 干旱区研究,2017-01-01,34(1):335-349
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