globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5960961
论文题名:
喀什地区木本植物春季物候变化特征及其对气候变暖的响应
其他题名: The spring phenological change characteristics of ligneous plants and their response to climate warming in Kashgar Prefecture
作者: 郝宏飞1; 辜永强1; 郝宏蕾2
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2017
卷: 31, 期:5, 页码:339-346
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 木本植物 ; 春季物候 ; 气候变化 ; 喀什
英文关键词: Ligneous plant ; spring phenology ; climate change ; Kashgar
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 选取喀什地区巴楚县、叶城县、麦盖提县和喀什市农业气象观测站典型木本植物春季物候观测资料及各地同期气象资料,运用线性倾向估计、t检验、相关分析等方法分析各地气温和木本植物春季物候的变化趋势,以及气温对植物春季物候期的影响。结果表明:年平均气温为上升趋势,21世纪以来升温趋势最为显著;春季物候普遍呈提前趋势,就平均而言,近28a来喀什地区春季物候已逐渐提前了8d左右;春季物候对物候期前期1个月的平均温度最敏感,显著敏感时段平均气温每升高1℃,可导致各春季物候期提前1.5-3.4d;春季物候与年平均气温的相关性也较好,年平均气温升高使春季物候期提前,反之推迟,年平均气温每升高1℃,可导致各春季物候期提前3.1-9.0d。
英文摘要: Spring phenology observational data of typical ligneous plants from agricultural observation stations in Bachu county,Yicheng county,Makit county & Kashgar city of Kashgar prefecture and the meteorological data of corresponding period in these places,and the methods of linear tendency estimation,T test,correlation analysis etc were applied to analyze the change tendency of temperature and spring phenology of ligneous plants in these places and to analyze the temperature influences on spring phenology of the plants. Results show that the annual average temperature presented rising trend,the warming tendency was the most outstanding since 21 century; Spring phenology presented advanced tendency generally; on average,the spring phenology has been advanced 8d gradually in Kashgar prefecture during recent 28a. Spring phenology was the most sensitive to the average temperature of the first month during the earlier stage of phenology. 1℃ rise of average temperature could lead to 1.5-3.4 ds ahead of spring phenology in outstanding sensitive period. The correlation between spring phenology and annual average temperature was clear,the rise of annual average temperature could lead the spring phenology ahead, vice versa. 1℃ rise of annual average temperature could lead to 3.1-9.0ds ahead of spring phenology.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152487
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.巴楚县气象局, 巴楚, 843800
2.喀什地区气象局, 喀什, 新疆 844000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
郝宏飞,辜永强,郝宏蕾. 喀什地区木本植物春季物候变化特征及其对气候变暖的响应[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2017-01-01,31(5):339-346
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