globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6103861
论文题名:
沙颍河代表站径流演变特征及归因分析
其他题名: Runoff evolution characteristics of a typical station in Shayinghe River basin and attribution analysis
作者: 王豪杰; 左其亭; 罗增良
刊名: 南水北调与水利科技
ISSN: 1672-1683
出版年: 2017
卷: 15, 期:5, 页码:371-382
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 径流演变 ; 气候变化 ; 人类活动 ; 蒸发率函数 ; 阜阳站
英文关键词: runoff evolution ; climate change ; human activities ; evaporation rate function ; Fuyang station
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 径流演变特征研究可为在变化环境下制定流域水资源规划、建立流域水文响应机制提供科学依据。以沙颍河流域代表水文站阜阳站为例,运用M-K检验法和小波分析法分析了1956年-2011年径流变化特征,并从气候变化及人类活动的角度分析了径流变化的主要驱动因素。结果表明:沙颍河阜阳站径流总体呈下降趋势,但下降趋势不明显,总体未达到95%显著性水平;在1966年前后存在明显的突变点;径流存在13a、26a两类周期变化特性,周期演变过程受人类活动影响显著。就驱动因素而言,人类活动对径流变化的贡献率在65%以上,气候变化对径流变化的影响较弱,表现为从负向到正向的趋势。
英文摘要: The study on the characteristics of runoff evolution can provide a scientific basis for the development of water resources plans and establishment of hydrological response mechanisms.In this study,the runoff evolution characteristics of Fuyang station were analyzed using M-K test and wavelet analysis based on the discharge data of Fuyang hydrometric station from 1956to 2011,and the main factors influencing the runoff changes were analyzed from the perspective of climate change and human activities.The results showed that the runoff of Fuyang station of Shayinghe River decreased but the decreasing trend was not significant,not reaching the 95%significance level.An abrupt change occurred around 1966.There was a 13-year periodic variation and a 26-year periodic variation of the runoff,and the periodic evolution process was affected by human activities significantly. As for the driving factors,the contribution rate of human activities to runoff changes was more than 65%.The impact of climate change on runoff changes was relatively weak,and tended to turn from negative to positive.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152744
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 郑州大学水利与环境学院, 郑州, 河南 450001, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王豪杰,左其亭,罗增良. 沙颍河代表站径流演变特征及归因分析[J]. 南水北调与水利科技,2017-01-01,15(5):371-382
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