globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6167009
论文题名:
历史气候变化和社会经济发展的因果关系实证研究评述
其他题名: The Review of Causality Analysis on the Relationship Between Paleo-Climate Change and Socio-Economic Dynamics
作者: 裴卿
刊名: 气候变化研究进展
ISSN: 1673-1719
出版年: 2017
卷: 13, 期:4, 页码:3780-3792
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 历史气候变化 ; 人类社会经济发展 ; 因果分析 ; 定量研究 ; 尺度 ; 统计因果关系
英文关键词: paleo-climate change ; socio-economic development ; causality analysis ; statistical analysis ; scale ; statistical law
WOS学科分类: SOCIOLOGY
WOS研究方向: Sociology
中文摘要: 本文根据近年来在历史气候变化和人类社会经济发展领域中因果关系的实证研究,特别是综合现有的定量研究成果,分析了历史上气候变化与人类社会经济发展的联系。结果表明,气候变化在最终和基本层面影响着社会经济发展。而且无论是长期还是短期的数据分析,气候短期波动或长期变化都会在社会经济发展中有所反映。从理论和方法学两个方面,这些研究成果促进了对气候变化影响下人类社会经济发展的认识,在全世界范围内都有学术借鉴意义和政策指导价值。
英文摘要: The article reviews current studies in the field of causality analysis on the association between paleoclimate change and socio-economic dynamics, particularly from the quantitative results and achievements. These findings have justified the strong linkage between paleo-climate change and socio-economic development. Climate change has been proved as the fundamental factor affecting socio-economic process. No matter in the long term or short term, climate variation and climate change both could exert the effects on the human society. This progress has contributed to the knowledge on climate change and socio-economic development from both theoretical and methodological aspects. The research in this field has shown its value as the reference for policymakers in addition to its academic contribution.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152804
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作者单位: 香港教育大学社会科学系, 999077, 香港

Recommended Citation:
裴卿. 历史气候变化和社会经济发展的因果关系实证研究评述[J]. 气候变化研究进展,2017-01-01,13(4):3780-3792
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