globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5989289
论文题名:
2010-2015年焉耆盆地LUCC特征分析及预测
其他题名: An analysis of LUCC characteristics during 2010-2015 and its simulation and prediction in Yanqi Basin,Xinjiang
作者: 费兵强; 韩炜; 马霄华; 党亚玲; 蔡寅潮; 谭惠; 李文轩
刊名: 云南大学学报. 自然科学版
ISSN: 0258-7971
出版年: 2017
卷: 39, 期:3, 页码:444-450
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 焉耆盆地 ; 建设用地 ; 马尔可夫模型 ; 土地利用变化 ; 模拟 ; 预测
英文关键词: LUCC ; Yanqi Basin ; construction land ; LUCC ; Markov model ; land use change ; simulation ; prediction
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 通过对焉耆盆地土地利用/土地覆被变化(LUCC)的时空转化规律的研究,揭示在气候变化和生产活动加剧的背景下,建设用地变化对LUCC的影响及其对工农业土地利用格局、生态环境效应、社会经济状况所产生的驱动机制.结合RS和GIS等技术手段以及马尔可夫模型,对焉耆盆地2010-2015年LUCC特征进行了分析,并对2015-2024年以及终极稳定状态的焉耆盆地LUCC进行了预测.结果显示:在2010-2024研究时段内,建设用地和耕地面积大幅增长,未利用地面积减少量最大;其增长和减少速度在2015-2018年期间达到峰值,而后逐渐降低.未利用地是新增耕地的主要来源,新增建设用地主要来自于耕地转化.水域和沙地面积小幅减少.草地和盐碱地面积变化较小,但两者互转频繁,湿地面积总体保持稳定.由结果可看出,未来焉耆盆地LUCC变化较为剧烈,社会经济发展对自然环境的压力持续增大.
英文摘要: Based on the study of the spatial-temporal transformation of land exploitation / land cover change (LUCC) in Yanqi Basin, this paper has revealed the impact of the change of the use of land on LUCC in the context of climate change and intensified production activities,and its impact on land use pattern,ecology environmental effects, socio-economic conditions of the driving mechanism.The LUCC features of Yanqi Basin from 2010 to 2015 have been analyzed,and the prediction of LUCC in Yanqi Basin from 2015 to 2024 and in the final state of steady state has been carried out by combining RS and GIS techniques and Markov model.The results show that demand of construction land and cultivated land has increased significantly,and the areas of unused land has decreased the most; the growth and reduction rate reached the peak in 2015-2018, then decreased gradually.And unused land is the main source of new cultivated land,while cultivated land is the main source of new construction land.Water and sand areas have decreased slightly.Grassland and saline-alkali land areas have changed little, but the frequency of frequent rotation,wetland area remains stable.In the future, the change of LUCC in Yanqi Basin will be intense,and the pressure of social and economic development on the natural environment is increasing.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/153344
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 新疆师范大学地理科学与旅游学院, 新疆干旱区湖泊环境与资源重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830054, 中国

Recommended Citation:
费兵强,韩炜,马霄华,等. 2010-2015年焉耆盆地LUCC特征分析及预测[J]. 云南大学学报. 自然科学版,2017-01-01,39(3):444-450
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[费兵强]'s Articles
[韩炜]'s Articles
[马霄华]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[费兵强]'s Articles
[韩炜]'s Articles
[马霄华]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[费兵强]‘s Articles
[韩炜]‘s Articles
[马霄华]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.