globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5913828
论文题名:
1961 - 2010年吉林省作物生长季极端降水时空变化特征
其他题名: Temporal and Spatial Change Analysis of Extreme Precipitation of the Crop Growth Period in Jilin Province
作者: 王秀芬; 尤飞
刊名: 灾害学
ISSN: 1000-811X
出版年: 2017
卷: 32, 期:1, 页码:44-51
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 极端降水 ; 作物 ; 生长季 ; 时空变化 ; 吉林省
英文关键词: extreme precipitation ; the crop growth period ; temporal and spatial change ; Jilin province
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 利用吉林省18个气象站点1961 - 2010年逐日降水资料,选取7个极端降水指标,系统分析了吉林省作物生长季内极端降水指标的时空变化特征。研究结果表明:吉林省作物生长季内极端降水指标总体上呈增长趋势;生长季内无降雨日数平均占到全年无降雨日数的34. 5%,占到整个生长季天数56. 4%;从极端降水指标出现时段的年代变化来看,GPCDD和CDD > 10表现为在各个时段趋于平均分配的趋势。GPRr25和GPRr50的出现时段主要集中在7月和8月两个时段,其中以7月下旬频率最高; GPTDD、GPCDD和TCDD > 10总体上均表现为从西北向东南递减的趋势; 18个站点GPTDD、GPCDD、GPRr25和GPRr50这4个指标线性倾向率的空间分布来看,空间变化趋势不明显。GPRr25和GPRr50在西北部地区线性倾向率为负值,GPTDD和GPCDD在各站点都表现为增长趋势。所得结论一定程度上明确了吉林省作物生长季极端降水灾害发生的时段和范围,从而为极端灾害的防抗避减提供参考。
英文摘要: Drought is one of the major agro-meteorological disasters in Jilin province,extreme drought seriously hampering crop growth and reducing crop yields. Under the background of global climate change,flood events also appeared increasingly. Based on the daily precipitation data of 18 observational stations in Jilin province during 1961 - 2000,we selected 7 extreme precipitation indices and analyzed the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of extreme precipitation indices within crop growth period. The main conclusions were listed as follows: extreme precipitation indices were all showed increasing trends except GPRr25. GPTDD accounted for 34. 5% of TOTDD averagely,accounted for 56. 4% of the entire growing season. The occurrence frequency of GPCDD and CDD > 10 in each period tend to the average distribution trend. The occurrence frequency of GPRr25 and GPRr50 mainly focused on July and August,the highest occurrence frequency of GPRr25 and GPRr50 appeared in late July. The spatial distribution of GPTDD,GPCDD and TCDD > 10 were decreasing from the northwest to southeast. The spatial changing trend of linear tendency rate of GPTDD、GPCDD、GPRr25 and GPRr50 were not obvious, but the linear tendency rates of GPTDD and GPCDD were all positive,and the linear tendency rates of GPRr25 and GPRr50 were negative in the northwest of Jilin province. This study is important for clearing the changing situation of extreme precipitation in Jilin province,which is helpful for the disaster defense of extreme precipitation.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/153349
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所, 北京 100081, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王秀芬,尤飞. 1961 - 2010年吉林省作物生长季极端降水时空变化特征[J]. 灾害学,2017-01-01,32(1):44-51
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