globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5956473
论文题名:
气候变化下罗布麻潜在地理分布区预测
其他题名: Projection of potential geographic distribution of Apocynum venetum under climate change in northern China
作者: 杨会枫1; 郑江华2; 贾晓光3; 李晓瑾3
刊名: 中国中药杂志
ISSN: 1001-5302
出版年: 2017
卷: 42, 期:6, 页码:48-53
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 潜在地理分布 ; 气候变化 ; MaxEnt 模型 ; 罗布麻 ; 药用植物
英文关键词: species spatial distribution ; climatic change ; MaxEnt model ; Apocynum venetum ; medicinal plant
WOS学科分类: MEDICINE GENERAL INTERNAL
WOS研究方向: General & Internal Medicine
中文摘要: 罗布麻为夹竹桃科多年生草本植物,其叶可以入药,茎秆作为重要的纺织品原材料,预测气候变化对该物种分布范围的影响及其保护该资源的可持续利用具有重要意义。该文利用罗布麻的44个地理分布点和19个环境因子图层,采用 MaxEnt模型分析了罗布麻在我国的潜在地理分布,并基于该模型预测政府间气候变化专门委员会( IPCC AR5)发布的BCC_ CSM1. 1气候模式下2050年及2070年的RCP2. 6,RCP8. 5气候情景下罗布麻的潜在地理分布范围。结果表明:最冷月低温( bio6) 、年平均温( bio1) 、最冷季平均降雨量( bio19) 、最湿季平均温( bio8)是影响罗布麻分布的主导环境因子;在当前气候条件下,罗布麻的适宜生境占我国总面积的11. 94%,集中分布在新疆中部,甘肃北部,内蒙古南部,宁夏北部,陕西北部及中部,山西南部,河南北部及中部,河北中部及南部,山东,天津,辽宁南部及北京的部分区域。由模型预测可知: 20502070年, RCP2. 6,RCP8. 5气候情景下,罗布麻适宜生境都有所减少。
英文摘要: Apocynum venetum belongs to apocynaceae and is a perennial medicinal plant,its stem is an important textile raw materials. The projection of potential geographic distribution of A. venetum has an important significance for the protection and sustainable utilization of the plant. This study was conducted to determine the potential geographic distribution of A. venetum and to project how climate change would affect its geographic distribution. The projection geographic distribution of A. venetum under current bioclimatic conditions in northern China was simulated using MaxEnt software based on species presence data at 44 locations and 19 bioclimatic parameters. The future distributions of A. venetum were also projected in 2050 and 2070 under the climate change scenarios of RCP2. 6 and RCP8. 5 described in 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ( IPCC) . The result showed that min air temperature of the coldest month,annual mean air temperature,precipitation of the coldest quarter and mean air temperature of the wettest quarter dominated the geographic distribution of A. venetum. Under current climate,the suitable habitats of A. venetum is 11. 94% in China,the suitable habitats are mainly located in the middle of Xinjiang,in the northern part of Gansu,in the southern part of Neimeng,in the northern part of Ningxia,in the middle and northern part of Shaanxi,in the southern part of Shanxi,in the middle and northern part of Henan,in the middle and southern part of Hebei,Shandong,Tianjin,in the southern part of Liaoning and part of Beijing. From 2050 to 2070,the model outputs indicated that the suitable habitats of A. venetum would decrease under the climate change scenarios of RCP2. 6 and RCP8. 5.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/153621
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.新疆大学资源与环境科学学院, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830046, 中国
2.新疆大学资源与环境科学学院, 新疆智慧城市与环境建模普通高校重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830046, 中国
3.新疆维吾尔自治区中药民族药研究所, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国

Recommended Citation:
杨会枫,郑江华,贾晓光,等. 气候变化下罗布麻潜在地理分布区预测[J]. 中国中药杂志,2017-01-01,42(6):48-53
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