globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6301105
论文题名:
基于HYPE模型评估小洪河流域水资源的气候变化敏感性
其他题名: Evaluating the Climate Change Sensitivity of Water Resources in Xiaohong River Basin Based on HYPE Model
作者: 余陈阳子1; 刘伶俐2; 杨晓英1
刊名: 复旦学报. 自然科学版
ISSN: 0427-7104
出版年: 2018
卷: 57, 期:4, 页码:549-563
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 小洪河流域 ; HYPE模型 ; 天气发生器 ; 气候变化敏感性分析 ; 时空分布特征
英文关键词: Xiaohong River Basin ; HYPE model ; weather generator ; climate change sensitivity analysis ; spatiotemporal patterns
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 小洪河流域地处我国南北气候过渡带,是我国对气候变化最为敏感的地区之一.本文在小洪河流域构建HYPE水文模型,结合天气发生器LARS-WG,模拟未来65种气候变化情景下的流域水文过程,分析小洪河流域地表径流在四季对气候变化的敏感性和时空分布特征.研究结果表明:(1)HYPE模型能较好模拟小洪河流域的水文循环过程;(2)在小洪河的上、中、下游,降雨量变化对四季的地表径流量均有显著性的影响,温度变化对径流量的影响存在一定的时空差异,降雨与气温变化对径流量的影响没有显著交叉作用;(3)地表径流量对气候变化的敏感性呈现明显的时空分布差异.
英文摘要: Under the background of global climate change,simulation of regional water cycle and assessment of the impacts of climate change are of great significance to the sustainable management of regional water resources.Located in the transition zone between the northern and southern climate,Xiaohong River Basin is one of the most sensitive areas to climate change in China.In this study,a semi-distributed hydrological model HYPE,was used for hydrological simulation.Using the weather data series generated by the LARS-WG weather generator,the HYPE model was used to simulate the hydrological processes under 65 different future climate change scenarios.The sensitivity of discharge to climate change by season in the basin and its spatiotemporal patterns were analyzed.The results have shown that HYPE is capable of simulating the hydrological cycle of the Xiaohong River Basin well with good applicability.Changes in precipitation have significant impacts on discharge in all four seasons at the upper,middle,and lower regions of the Xiaohong River Basin.The impacts of changes in temperature on discharge vary both spatially and temporally.In addition, there is no significant interaction between rainfall and temperature in their impacts on discharge.The sensitivity of discharge to climate change has also exhibited distinct spatiotemporal differences.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154053
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.南京水利科学研究院
2.复旦大学环境科学与工程系, 水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室
3., 南京
4.,
5.上海 210098
6.200433
7.复旦大学环境科学与工程系, 上海 200433, 中国

Recommended Citation:
余陈阳子,刘伶俐,杨晓英. 基于HYPE模型评估小洪河流域水资源的气候变化敏感性[J]. 复旦学报. 自然科学版,2018-01-01,57(4):549-563
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