globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6274302
论文题名:
核能对全球变暖和人类健康影响初步研究
其他题名: Preliminary Study on Global Warming and Human Health Impacts of Nuclear Power
作者: 吴宜灿; 王明煌; 付雪微; 廉超; 陈德鸿; 陈志斌; 柏云清; 王芳; 胡丽琴
刊名: 核科学与工程
ISSN: 0258-0918
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期:3, 页码:585-596
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 核能 ; 全球变暖 ; 人类健康 ; 空气污染 ; 放射性
英文关键词: Nuclear Power ; Global warming ; Human Health ; Air Pollution ; Radiation
WOS学科分类: NUCLEAR SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY
WOS研究方向: Nuclear Science & Technology
中文摘要: 核能作为一种安全、清洁、高效的能源,对于改善人类生活环境、提高人民健康水平、促进经济社会可持续发展是非常有利的,然而核能带来的辐射健康风险使其发展一直备受争议,因此有必要对核能带来的效益和风险进行综合评估,以全面地分析核能带来的影响。本文基于三种典型核能发展预测方案,从全球变暖和人类健康的角度,定量分析了20162050年间核能在局部地区和全球范围内对于社会的潜在效益和风险。结果表明使用核电替代煤电带来的效益远超过它的潜在风险,尤其是对于贫困地区,社会经济发展水平越低,适度发展核能将会获得更多的效益。分析结果表明,在三种典型核能发展预测方案下,至21世纪中期,核能在全球范围内可以减少0.05~0.22 ℃温升,避免170~1 400万人死亡,估计的效益价值16.7~115万亿美元。
英文摘要: Nuclear power helps us attain multiple aspects of sustainability,such as improving environment,health and economics.However,nuclear power comes with health risk of radiation,leading to different attitudes to the development of nuclear power,and it is thus necessary to make comprehensive analysis for the benefit and risk of nuclear power.Here we show the regional and global impacts of nuclear power on climate and human health based on three typical nuclear power projections from 2016 to 2050.The results show that nuclear power has competitive advantages over coal,even considering the radiation risk.In particular,less developed regions will benefit more from the replacement of coal by nuclear power.We also demonstrate that the projected global use of nuclear power to 2050 would prevent the temperature increase of 0.05~0.22 ℃ and 1.7~14.0 million deaths that would result from coal power,and the monetized benefits range from US$16.7 to US$115.0 trillion.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154244
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 中国科学院核能安全技术研究所, 中国科学院中子输运理论与辐射安全重点实验室, 合肥, 安徽 230031, 中国

Recommended Citation:
吴宜灿,王明煌,付雪微,等. 核能对全球变暖和人类健康影响初步研究[J]. 核科学与工程,2018-01-01,38(3):585-596
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