globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6375643
论文题名:
气候变化和人类活动对长江径流泥沙的影响研究
其他题名: Impacts of climate change and human activities on flow discharge and sediment load in the Yangtze River
作者: 彭涛1; 田慧2; 秦振雄2; 王高旭3
刊名: 泥沙研究
ISSN: 0468-155X
出版年: 2018
卷: 43, 期:6, 页码:6143-6155
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 水沙变化 ; 气候变化 ; 人类活动 ; 贡献率 ; 长江
英文关键词: variations of flow discharge and sediment load ; climate change ; human activities ; contribution rate ; Yangtze River
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 采用长江干流寸滩、宜昌、汉口和大通四个控制站的径流量和输沙量资料,应用Mann-Kendall检验、滑动t检验和有序聚类检验等方法,分析水沙变化趋势及突变特征,运用气候弹性系数法以及累积量斜率变化率法,定量分解气候变化与人类活动对径流泥沙的影响。结果表明:近60年来长江干流径流量年际变化相对平稳,而输沙量年际变化剧烈,四个站的年输沙量均呈现显著减少趋势,大多数站点的年径流量和年输沙量在1968年前后和21世纪初期发生了突变。变异Ⅰ期为1969- 2002年,人类活动对四个站的径流量和输沙量变化的贡献率分别为31.98%~ 70.04%和75.40%~ 95.33%。变异Ⅱ期为2003- 2015年,人类活动引起四个站的径流量和输沙量变化的贡献率分别为59.75%~ 80.04%和91.94%~ 99.17%,显示人类活动的作用强度增大。
英文摘要: Long-term flow discharge and sediment load data from four representative hydrological stations at Cuntan,Yichang,Hankou and Datong along the Yangtze River were collected. Trends and abrupt changes were detected by Mann-Kendall test,sliding t-test and sequential cluster test. The method of climate elasticity and the slope changing ratio of cumulative quantity were applied to quantify the impacts of climate change and human activities on flow discharge and sediment load. Results indicated that annual variations of flow discharge were relatively stable. However,inter-annual sediment load exhibited greater variations compared with flow discharge. Annual sediment load showed a significant decreasing trends at all stations. Significant abrupt changes were detected in the time series of flow discharge and sediment load for most hydrological stations,and most of these changes occurred around 1968 and in the early 2000s. In 1969 - 2002 (variation period Ⅰ), the relative contribution ratios of human activities to variations in flow discharge and sediment load were from 31.98% to 70.04% and from 75.40% to 95.33%,respectively. In 2003 - 2015 (variation period Ⅱ),the relative contribution ratios of human activities were from 59.75% to 80.04% and from 91.94% to 99.17%, respectively.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154432
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.三峡大学水利与环境学院
2.水资源安全保障湖北省协同创新中心,
3.水资源安全保障湖北省协同创新中心, 宜昌
4.武汉, 湖北
5.湖北 443002
6.430072, 中国
7.三峡大学水利与环境学院, 宜昌, 湖北 443002, 中国
8.南京水利科学研究院, 水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室, 南京, 江苏 210029, 中国

Recommended Citation:
彭涛,田慧,秦振雄,等. 气候变化和人类活动对长江径流泥沙的影响研究[J]. 泥沙研究,2018-01-01,43(6):6143-6155
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