globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6241010
论文题名:
横断山区气温和降水年季月变化特征
其他题名: Variation Character of Annual,Seasonal and Monthly Temperature and Precipitation
作者: 徐飞1; 贾仰文2; 牛存稳2; 刘佳嘉2; 张汶海3
刊名: 山地学报
ISSN: 1008-2786
出版年: 2018
卷: 36, 期:2, 页码:631-639
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 横断山区 ; 气温 ; 降水 ; 变化特征
英文关键词: Hengduan Mountains region ; temperature ; precipitation ; variation character
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 为详尽分析横断山区气候变化过程,利用横断山区内90个气象站点的19612011年气温和降水资料,采用线性趋势、Mann-Kendall非参数趋势和突变检验法、反距离加权插值法等方法研究了横断山区气温和降水年、季、月的多时间尺度下的变化规律和变化趋势的空间分布情况。结果表明: 19612011年横断山区气温以0.16 ℃ /10 a的速率显著升高,降水以11.41 mm/10 a的速率呈现不显著的递减趋势,说明横断山区呈现变暖变干的趋势, 2000年以后暖干趋势尤为明显。从气温和降水的变化趋势的空间分布来看,气温升温趋势北部比南部剧烈,西部比东部更为剧烈,降水减少趋势呈现南部比北部更剧烈。19612011年横断山区春夏秋冬四季气温分别以0.09、0.14、0.16和0.27 ℃ /10 a的速率显著升高。夏、秋、冬季降水分别以- 7.88、- 8.90、- 2.61 mm/10 a的速率呈不显著减少的趋势,春季降水以7.34 mm/10 a的速率显著增加。19612011年横断山区全年12个月的气温都呈升高趋势,1 5月降水呈现增加趋势,6 12月减少。分析表明在大气环流发生异常(北极涛动、南极涛动、东亚夏季风、西太平洋副高、南亚高压和海温)和人类活动的共同影响下,横断山区气候呈现暖干的趋势。研究结果为把握横断山区对全球气候变化的响应程度,水资源的合理开发利用提供依据。
英文摘要: To detailed analyze the climate change process in the Hengduan Mountains region (HDMR), spatiotemporal variation of temperature and precipitation were analyzed based on the temperature and precipitation data at 90 meteorological stations in this region from 1961 to 2011,by the linear regression method,the Mann- Kendall nonparametric statistical test and the inverse distance weighted interpolation. The results indicated that the annual mean temperature in the HDMR exhibited significantly increasing trends of 0.16 ℃ /10 a during 1961 2011,while the annual precipitation showed a nonsignificant decreasing trend at a rate of - 11.41 mm/10 a. It implied that the HDMR tended to be much warm and dry. From the spatial distribution of the variation trends of temperature and precipitation,the warming trend of the north was fiercer than that of the south,the west was more intense than the east; and the trend of decreasing precipitation showed that the south was more intense than the north. At the seasonal scale,the temperature increased by 0.09,0. 14,0. 16 and 0.27 ℃ /10 a in spring,summer, autumn,and winter,respectively. Precipitation decreased by - 7.76,- 8.49 and - 2.07 mm/10 a in summer, autumn,and winter,respectively,and increased by 7.34 mm/10 a in spring. At the monthly scale,all twelve monthly mean temperatures exhibited an increasing trend,and the precipitation showed increasing trends from January to May and decreasing trends from June to December. In addition,causes of climate changes were also analyzed. This study can be helpful for deeper understanding of the variabilities in temperature and precipitation in response to climate change,and will provide supports for the water resource management in the HDMR.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154553
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中国水利水电科学研究院
2.中国农业大学水利与土木工程学院, 流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室
3.,
4., 北京
5.北京 100038
6.100083, 中国
7.中国水利水电科学研究院, 流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室, 北京 100038, 中国
8.中国水利水电科学研究院
9.清华大学水利水电工程系, 流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室
10.,
11., 北京
12.北京 100038
13.100084, 中国

Recommended Citation:
徐飞,贾仰文,牛存稳,等. 横断山区气温和降水年季月变化特征[J]. 山地学报,2018-01-01,36(2):631-639
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