globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6406070
论文题名:
塔吉克斯坦帕米尔高原源区水文变化以贡特河为例
其他题名: Hydrological Changes in Source Region of Pamirs Plateau: A Case Study in the Gunt River Basin,Tajikistan
作者: 陈友平1; 张合理2; 陈峰2; 范子昂2; 刘蕊1
刊名: 山地学报
ISSN: 1008-2786
出版年: 2018
卷: 36, 期:6, 页码:633-645
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 中亚 ; 帕米尔高原源区 ; 贡特河 ; 水文变化 ; 气候变化
英文关键词: Central Asia ; Pamirs ; Gunt River ; hydrological change ; climate factor
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 在中亚地区水资源匮乏、水资源安全问题突出背景下,进一步了解该区水文变化有利于科学制定水资源调配政策。基于塔吉克斯坦贡特河(Gunt river)霍罗格水文站数据和霍罗格气象站数据,使用不均匀系数、线性趋势法、Mann-Kendall检验法、R/S分析法和小波分析法等方法,分析了19402017年贡特河流量变化特征及其对气候变化的响应,结果表明: (1)贡特河流量年内分配不均匀,6 9月占全年平均流量的75%,汛期集中在7月19日前后,无明显提前或延后特征。(2)贡特河流量年际变化总体呈减少趋势,但趋势不显著,年际变化率为- 5.75(m~3·s ~(- 1)) /10 a,在19401946年呈增加趋势,19471958年呈减少趋势,19591960年呈增加趋势, 19612017年呈减少趋势,在1946年存在突变;共经历了4次丰-枯期:丰水期(19401959年) -枯水期(19601976年) -丰水期(19771995年) -枯水期(19962017年) 。趋势分析表明流量在未来一段时间内可能存在增加趋势;小波分析表明流量存在23 ~ 34 a,9 ~ 22 a,4 ~ 8 a的准周期变化。(3)降水对贡特河径流年内补给具有明显滞后效应,平均气温与径流年内变化具有同步性;流量年际变化主要受降水影响;周期相关表明,年平均流量与降水量、平均气温在19601980年同时存在的8 ~ 12 a时间尺度的显著周期变化,而在整个时间域中则同时存在2 ~ 5 a时间尺度的显著周期变化。
英文摘要: To better address water scarcity and water security issues in Central Asia,careful and prudent water resources allocation planning and management requires detailed and reliable knowledge of hydrological changes. Based on the runoff and meteorological records from Khorugh during the period of 1940 - 2017,the runoff variations of the Gunt River and its response to the climate change was analyzed using the non-uniform coefficient,linear trend method,Mann-Kendall test,R/S and wavelet analysis in this paper. The main results were obtained as follow: (1) the seasonal distribution of runoff was quite uneven,and 75% of runoff was occurred at June- September (around 19th July), and the peak periods showed no significant advance or delay. (2) Annual runoff series showed a decreasing trend which was not remarkable. High runoff occurred during 1940 - 1959 and 1977 - 1995. Low runoff occurred during 1960 - 1976 and 1996 - 2017. According to the results of R/S analysis,annual runoff will increase in the future. Wavelet analysis showed that the remarkable 23 - 34 year,9 - 22 year and 4 - 8 year periodicities were found in annual runoff series. (3) The intra-annual precipitation had some significant effects on the runoff variations of the Gunt River,and the average temperature was synchronous with the seasonal variation of discharge. The annual runoff variation was controlled by precipitation. The cross wavelet showed that 2 - 5 year cycles were occurred in the whole time domain,and 8 - 12 year cycle was found during the period 1960 - 1980.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154561
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.新疆师范大学地理科学与旅游学院
2.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所,
3.中国气象局树木年轮理化研究重点开放实验室
4.新疆树木年轮生态实验室, 乌鲁木齐
5.乌鲁木齐,
6.830054
7.830002
8.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所, 中国气象局树木年轮理化研究重点开放实验室
9.新疆树木年轮生态实验室, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国

Recommended Citation:
陈友平,张合理,陈峰,等. 塔吉克斯坦帕米尔高原源区水文变化以贡特河为例[J]. 山地学报,2018-01-01,36(6):633-645
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