globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6338724
论文题名:
长三角城市群碳排放与城市用地增长及形态的关系
其他题名: Relationships between carbon emission,urban growth,and urban forms of urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta
作者: 舒心1; 夏楚瑜1; 李艳1; 童菊儿1; 史舟2
刊名: 生态学报
ISSN: 1000-0933
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期:17, 页码:65-86
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 碳排放 ; 城市用地增长 ; 城市形态 ; 面板数据模型 ; 长三角城市群
英文关键词: carbon emission ; urban growth ; urban form ; panel data model ; urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta
WOS学科分类: ECONOMICS
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics
中文摘要: 城市是一种重要的碳源,城市扩张过程中的用地面积增长和空间特征变化均会影响城市碳排放。分析19952015年长三角城市群碳排放重心转移,查明碳排放和城市用地增长的脱钩状态时空变化,并通过构建面板数据模型探究城市形态对碳排放的影响,得出以下结论: (1) 19952015年长三角城市群碳排放重心经历了西南向-西北向-东南向-西北向的转移过程,这种转移过程与其相应时期内部分城市的工业发展与产业结构调整有关; (2) 19952015年,长三角城市群碳排放与城市用地增长的脱钩状态存在着显著的时空异质性。研究区由以扩张负脱钩为主变化为以弱脱钩为主,2005年以后,区域之间的脱钩差异开始缩小,总体来看研究区脱钩状态趋向于同质。至2015年,近70%的城市已达到了脱钩,其中上海等城市实现了强脱钩; (3)连续完整的地块在区域内的主导程度会对城市碳排放产生负向的影响,而城市用地斑块的破碎化程度和聚集程度对碳排放有着正向的影响,且相对而言,聚集程度的正向影响更为显著。
英文摘要: Cities are one of many carbon sources. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR5,CO2emissions from fossil fuel combustion and industrial processes contributed about 78% to the total Green House Gas (GHG) emission increase between 19702010. Total annual anthropogenic GHG emissions have increased by about 10GtCO2-eq between 20002010. The increase directly came from energy (47%) ,industry (30%) ,transport (11%) , and building (3%) sectors,which mainly exist in cities. Urban expansion and urbanization can affect urban carbon emission. Studies show that there is a long-term and stable relationship between urbanization and carbon dioxide emissions. The relationships between urban carbon emissions and indicators,including urban development intensity,urban land use, and the industrial sector,are studied extensively. During urban expansion,the quantitative and spatial features of urban lands can both affect carbon emissions. Therefore,urban form was added to the possible factors influencing carbon emissions in this study,which may be different from previous research that has focused on the relationship between urban growth and carbon emissions. However,in some related research,when urban form has been added to the indicators,the objects were residents or the transport sector,and they lacked quantitative indicators to verify the conclusions. The definition ofurban formin this study was landscape pattern which was characterized by landscape metrics,and the study area consisted of 13 cities in the Yangtze River Delta. In this study,we analysed the shift of the gravity center from 19952015 for carbon emissions of the study area,and defined the decoupling index as well as analysing the temporal-spatial changes of the decoupling relationships between carbon emissions and urban growth in the study area. We also built panel data models to estimate the impact of urban forms on carbon emissions. Based on that,the conclusions are as follows: (1) The shift of the gravity center from 19952015 for carbon emissions of the study area was southwest-northwest-southeast-northwest. The shift may be related to the development of industry and change of industrial structure in some cities during this period. (2) There was a significant temporal-spatial heterogeneity in the decoupling relationships between carbon emissions and urban growth from 19952015. The leading decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and urban growth of the study area changed from expansive negative decoupling to weak decoupling from 19952015. The difference of decoupling relationships between cities narrowed after 2005 and the overall decoupling relationship of the study area became homogeneous. In 2015,almost 70% of cities reached the decoupling state and the decoupling states of Shanghai,Shaoxing, and Taizhou were strong. (3) Urban carbon emissions can be negatively influenced by the dominance of complete patches, and positively influenced by the degree of fragmentation and aggregation of urban patches. Carbon emissions can be more sensitive to the more aggregative distribution of the urban patches. This study analysed the relationship between carbon emissions and urban growth,as well as exploring how urban form can affect carbon emissions. The conclusions could provide scientific references for the policy making of low-carbon development strategies and land use and urban planning of urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154706
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作者单位: 1.浙江大学公共管理学院土地科学与不动产研究所, 杭州, 浙江 310058, 中国
2.浙江大学环境与资源学院农业遥感与信息技术应用研究所, 杭州, 浙江 310058, 中国

Recommended Citation:
舒心,夏楚瑜,李艳,等. 长三角城市群碳排放与城市用地增长及形态的关系[J]. 生态学报,2018-01-01,38(17):65-86
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