globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6191903
论文题名:
19612012年黄土高原干旱时空分布特征
其他题名: Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of drought in Loess Plateau from 1961 to 2012
作者: 王利娜1; 朱清科2; 翁白莎1; 刘芳1; 王建伟1; 何霄嘉3
刊名: 水利水电技术
ISSN: 1000-0860
出版年: 2018
卷: 49, 期:2, 页码:682-691
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 干旱 ; 连续无雨日 ; 时空分布 ; 黄土高原 ; 气候变化 ; 水文水资源
英文关键词: drought ; successive non-precipitation days ; spatial and temporal distribution ; Loess Plateau ; climate change ; hydrology and water resources
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 干旱是黄土高原主要自然灾害之一。为了揭示黄土高原干旱的变化规律,以该区为研究对象,获取研究区及其周边72个气象站点19612012年的逐日降水观测资料,以连续无有效降雨日数作为干旱指标,采用神经网络算法和数理统计法,分析近52年黄土高原干旱的时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)黄土高原不同等级干旱发生次数年内变化显著,轻度干旱发生次数在春、夏季相对较多;中度干旱和严重干旱发生次数年内变化趋势相似,均易发生在冬季;特大干旱发生次数多集中在春季。(2)近52年来不同类型区干旱变化亦显著,各分区干旱发生次数整体均呈上升趋势,2001 2012年各分区干旱发生次数最多。(3)黄土高原干旱发生总次数和春季干旱发生次数整体均呈由西南向东北逐渐增加趋势,夏季干旱多发生在黄土高原北部边界处,秋季干旱发生次数较多的有黄土高原西北部丘陵沟壑区、陕甘宁河流阶地及高原沟壑区的北部和汾河平原及晋陕丘陵沟壑区,冬季干旱整体呈面状分布。(4)轻度和中度干旱发生次数大体相似,均呈由西南向东北逐渐增加趋势,严重干旱多发生在黄土高原北部边界处,特大干旱多发生在黄土高原西北部丘陵沟壑区。研究成果对制定黄土高原防灾减灾政策有一定的参考价值。
英文摘要: Drought is one of the major natural disasters in the Loess Plateau.In order to reveal the variation law of drought in the Loess Plateau,the observed daily precipitation data of 1961~2012 from 72 weather stations within the study area and around it are obtained by taking the region as the study object,and then the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the drought in the Loess Plateau in the recent 52 years is analyzed with the neural network algorithm and the method of mathematical statistics by taking the number of successive effective non-precipitation days as the drought index.The result indicates that(1) The number of the occurrences of different grade droughts in the Loess Plateau significantly changes within a year,while the occurrence number of mild drought is relatively more in spring and summer,the changing trends of the occurrence numbers of moderate drought and severe drought are similar and both of them are prone to occur in winter and the occurrence numbers of most of extraordinary droughts are concentrated in spring.(2) In recent 52 years,the changes of the droughts in different types of sub-regions are also significant,while the occurrence numbers of the droughts in all the sub-regions integratedly present increasing trends,and that the occurrence numbers of the droughts in all the sub-regions from 2001 to 2012 are the maximum among them.(3) The total occurrence number of the droughts in the Loess Plateau and the occurrence number of the droughts in spring therein integratedly present the trends of gradual increase from the southwest to the northeast,while most of the droughts in summer occur at the north border of the Loess Plateau,moreover,the regions with more occurrence numbers of drought in winter are the hill and gully areas in the northwest of the Loess Plateau,the river terraces of Shaaxi,Gansu and Ningxia as well as the north of the gully areas of the plateau,Fenhe River Plain and the hill-gully areas of Shanxi and Shaanxi;moreover,the droughts occurred in winter integratedly present a planar distribution.(4) The occurrence numbers of both the mild and the moderate droughts are generally similar,i.e.all of them present gradual increase trends from the southwest to the northeast,while the most of the severe droughts occur at the north border of the Loess Plateau and most of the extraordinary droughts occur at the northwest hill-gully areas of the Loess Plateau as well.The study result has a certain referential value for making the policy of disaster prevention and reduction for the Loess Plateau.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154841
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中国水利水电科学研究院, 流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室, 北京 100038, 中国
2.北京林业大学水土保持学院, 水土保持与荒漠化防治教育部重点实验室, 北京 100083, 中国
3.中国21世纪议程管理中心, 北京 100038, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王利娜,朱清科,翁白莎,等. 19612012年黄土高原干旱时空分布特征[J]. 水利水电技术,2018-01-01,49(2):682-691
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