globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6305903
论文题名:
近50年辽宁省极端气候事件的趋势变化及空间特征
其他题名: Trend variation and spatial characteristics of extreme climate events in Liaoning Province in recent 50 years
作者: 曹永强; 袁立婷; 郑爽; 郭明; 刘思然
刊名: 水利水电技术
ISSN: 1000-0860
出版年: 2018
卷: 49, 期:7, 页码:683-691
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 极端温度 ; 极端降水 ; 时空分布 ; 辽宁省
英文关键词: extreme temperature ; extreme precipitation ; spatial-temporal distribution ; Liaoning Province
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 为明确辽宁省近50年极端气候事件的趋势变化特征以及时空分布情况,本文以辽宁省19642015年逐日平均气温、最低气温、最高气温以及降水数据为基础,选取省域范围内的23个气象站点,依据世界气象组织(WMO)确定的气候变化检测和指标,选取适用于研究区的8个极端气温指数和4个降水指数,采用线性趋势法、Mann- Kendall突变检验法及反距离加权插值法,分析近50年来辽宁省极端气温和降水事件的时空演变特征。结果表明:时间尺度上,表征极端高温事件的极端最高温、夏日日数、暖昼、暖夜日数逐渐增多且在未来一段时间具有持续上升趋势;极端低温事件指数如霜冻日数、冷昼数、冷夜数均表现为下降趋势变化;极端降水指数除普通日降水强度较为平稳外均呈上升趋势,辽宁省极端降水事件增加。空间尺度上,极端最高温、最低温、霜冻日数、夏日日数呈由北向南递减的规律,冷夜、冷昼、暖夜、暖昼数呈不规律分布。与降水量相关的极端降水指数呈南高北低,东高西低的格局。
英文摘要: In order to define the characteristics of the trend variation and the temporal-spatial distribution of the extreme climate events in Liaoning Province in recent 50 years,23 meteorological stations in the province are selected on the basis of the data of the annual daily mean temperature,lowest temperature,highest temperature and precipitation from 1964 to 2015,while 8 extreme temperature indexes and 4 precipitation indexes adaptable for the study area are chosen in accordance with the Climate Change Detection and Index confirmed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO),and then the temporal-spatial evolution characteristics of the extreme temperature and precipitation events in Liaoning Province in recent 50 years are analyzed herein with linear trend method,Mann-Kendall mutation test and inverse distance weighted interpolation method. The result shows that from temporal scale,the characterizing extreme high temperature events,such as extreme high temperature,day number of summer, day numbers of both warm day and warm night,are to be gradually increased with continuous increasing trends in a period of time in the future and all the indexes of the extreme low-temperature events,i. e. number of frost days,number of cold days, and number of cold nights,present the variations of decreasing trends,while all the extreme precipitation indexes exhibit increasing trends except the more smooth precipitation intensity of common day,thus the extreme precipitation events in Liaoning Province are increased. On the spatial scale,the extreme highest temperature,lowest temperature,frost days,day number of summer show the laws of descending from the north to the south,while cold nights,cold days,warm nights and warm days show the irregular distributions. The extreme precipitation indexes related to precipitation show the patterns of high in the south and low in the north as well as high in the east and low in the west.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154847
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院, 大连, 辽宁 116029, 中国

Recommended Citation:
曹永强,袁立婷,郑爽,等. 近50年辽宁省极端气候事件的趋势变化及空间特征[J]. 水利水电技术,2018-01-01,49(7):683-691
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