globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6327967
论文题名:
基于分布式水文模型的怒江流域气象干旱和水文干旱分析
其他题名: Distributed hydrological model-based analysis on meteorological and hydrological drought of Nujiang River Basin
作者: 彭雪婷1; 卢麾1; 汪伟2; 田富强3; 黎一杉1; 罗贤4
刊名: 水利水电技术
ISSN: 1000-0860
出版年: 2018
卷: 49, 期:8, 页码:683-698
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 怒江 ; 分布式水文模型 ; 干旱
英文关键词: SPI ; SSI ; Nujiang River ; distributed hydrological model ; drought ; SPI ; SSI
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 为了评估气候变化对怒江流域干旱演变的影响,本研究建立了GBHM - NJ分布式水文模型,利用实测站点资料率定参数并验证模型精度,模拟了19612010年长时间序列流域水文过程,并分别采用标准化降水指数(SPI)和标准化径流指数(SSI)分析了流域气象干旱和水文干旱的时空演变特点。结果表明: (1) GBHM - NJ模型能较好地模拟怒江流域的径流过程和水文响应的空间特征。(2) 19612010年间,怒江流域发生气象干旱的频率、覆盖面积和强度呈增加趋势,其中1994年和2009年气象干旱最为严重。(3)在空间上,怒江流域的年度气象干旱频率约为28%,中游地区干旱频率比较高、主要分布在左贡站和八宿站附近,上游地区次之,下游地区相对较低。(4)水文干旱进入20世纪90年代和21世纪以后明显增强,年尺度干旱以轻旱为主,季尺度干旱特旱多发生在秋冬季。总之,气候变化环境下怒江流域干旱呈现增强趋势。
英文摘要: In order to evaluate the impact from climate change on the evolution of drought in Nujiang River Basin,a distributed geomorphology-based hydrological model(GBHM - NJ) is established herein and its parameters are calibrated and accuracy is verified with the observed data from the relevant hydrological stations,and then the hydrological process of a long time-series (19612010) of the river basin is simulated; for which the Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) and the Standardized Streamflow Index(SSI) are respectively adopted for the analysis made on the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of the meteorological and hydrological drought in the river basin. The result shows that(1) GBHM - NJ model can better simulate the runoff process and the spatial characteristics of the hydrological response; (2) during the period of 19612010,the frequency,coverage and intensity of the occurrence of the meteorological drought in the river basin exhibit the increasing trends,in which the meteorological drought during 19942009 is the most serious; (3) spatially,the frequency of the yearly meteorological drought is about 28% in the river basin,while frequency of the drought is higher within the mid-stream area of the river basin and is mainly distributed near Zuogong hydrological station and Basu hydrological station with the secondary in the upstream area and the lower in the downstream area relatively; (4) after coming into the 90s in the last century and the 21 century,the hydrological drought is significantly intensified,for which the drought on yearly scale is mainly the mild,while the extreme occurs in autumn and winter on the seasonal scale. Generally,the drought within Nujiang River Basin exhibits an intensifying trend under the environment of climate change.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154850
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.清华大学地球系统科学系, 北京 100084, 中国
2.清华大学地球系统科学系
3.长江勘测规划设计研究院水利规划院,
4.,
5.武汉, 北京
6.湖北 100084
7.430010, 中国
8.清华大学水利水电工程系, 北京 100084, 中国
9.云南大学, 云南省国际河流与跨境生态安全重点实验室, 昆明, 云南 650091, 中国

Recommended Citation:
彭雪婷,卢麾,汪伟,等. 基于分布式水文模型的怒江流域气象干旱和水文干旱分析[J]. 水利水电技术,2018-01-01,49(8):683-698
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