globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6158243
论文题名:
2011 2050年贵州省极端气候指数时空变化特征
其他题名: Spatial and Temporal Variations of Extreme Climate Indices in Guizhou Province from 2011 to 2050
作者: 韩会庆1; 张娇艳2; 苏志华3; 陆艺1
刊名: 水土保持研究
ISSN: 1005-3409
出版年: 2018
卷: 25, 期:2, 页码:689-699
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 极端气候指数 ; 空间格局 ; 变化趋势 ; 贵州省
英文关键词: extreme climate indices ; spatial pattern ; change trend ; Guizhou Province
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 为探究未来贵州省极端气候变化发生趋势与空间格局,在利用中国天气发生器NCC/GU-WG Version 2.0模型对20112050年逐日降水量、日最高温和日最低温进行预测的基础上,运用ArcGIS软件和变化趋势分析法,分析了贵州省20112050年极端气候指数时空变化特征。结果表明:40年间,日最高温气温(TXx)、日最低气温(TNn)、暖日指数(TX90p)和持续暖期(WSDI)每10 a分别增加0.1℃,0.03 ℃,0.23 d和0.4 d;冷日指数(TXlOp)和持续冷期(CSDI)每10 a分别下降0.1 d和0.26 d。最大日降水量(RXlday)、5日最大降水量(R5D)、强降水量(R95T)、日降水量强度(SDⅡ)和连续湿日(CDD)每10 a分别增加1.02 mm,l. 31 mm,5.63 mm,0.01 mm/d和0.05 d,连续干日(CWD)每10 a下降0.11 d。极端气候指数及其变化趋势的空间格局异质性突出。气候变暖和地形是影响贵州省极端气候指数变化的主要因素。
英文摘要: In order to explore the future change trend and spatial pattern of extreme climate in Guizhou Province, this paper predicted daily precipitation, daily maximum temperature and daily minimum temperature from 2011 to 2050 by using the method of NCC/GU-WG Version 2.0 model of weather generator in China and analyzed spatial and temporal variations of extreme climate indices from 2011 to 2050 in Guizhou Province by the way of trend analysis and the software of ArcGIS. The results show that extreme climate indices including TXx, TNn,TX90p and WSDI will increase 0.1℃,0.03℃,0.23 d and 0.4 d per decade, respectively, while extreme climate indices including TXlOp and CSDI will decrease 0.1 d and 0.26 d per decade, respectively, from 2011 to 2050; extreme climate indices including R5D,R95T, SDⅡ and CDD will increase 1.02 mm, 1.31 mm, 5.63 mm, 0.01 mm/d and 0.05 d per decade,respectively, while extreme climate index including CWD will decrease 0.11 d per decade from 2011 to 2050. There were spatial heterogeneities for extreme climate indices and their change trends. Climate warming and terrain are dominant factors affecting variation of extreme climate indices in Guizhou Province.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154887
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.贵州理工学院建筑与城市规划学院, 贵阳, 贵州 550003, 中国
2.贵州省气候中心, 贵阳, 贵州 550002, 中国
3.贵州财经大学管理科学学院, 贵阳, 贵州 550025, 中国

Recommended Citation:
韩会庆,张娇艳,苏志华,等. 2011 2050年贵州省极端气候指数时空变化特征[J]. 水土保持研究,2018-01-01,25(2):689-699
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