globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6200411
论文题名:
19602014年祁连山南坡及其附近地区气温时空变化特征
其他题名: Analysis on Temporal and Spatial Variation Characteristics of Air Temperature in the South Slope of Qilian Mountains and Its Nearby Regions During the Period From 1960 to 2014
作者: 曹广超1; 付建新1; 李玲琴1; 曹生奎1; 唐仲霞1; 蒋刚1; 虞敏1; 袁杰1; 汉光昭1; 刁二龙1
刊名: 水土保持研究
ISSN: 1005-3409
出版年: 2018
卷: 25, 期:3, 页码:690-700
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气温 ; 变化趋势 ; 空间分布 ; 祁连山
英文关键词: temperature ; change trend ; spatial distribution ; Qilian Mountains
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 基于祁连山南坡及其附近19个气象站点的19602014年气温数据,利用线性趋势法、相关分析法、多项式趋势法、5年滑动平均、R/S分析方法、ArcGIS方法对其气温的时间变化与空间分布作了详细分析。结果表明:多年平均气温变化趋势为波动上升趋势,增长率为0.35℃/10 a,最低气温与最高气温的增长率分别为0.478,0.275℃/10 a,季节气温同样为上升趋势,其中冬季气温增幅最大,说明最低气温与冬季气温对气温上升贡献最大;从年代际变化来看,20002014年气温的升高趋势比19901999年有所下降,并不能说明全球变暖停滞,可能受到自然外强迫造成的;气温的Hurst指数为0.5
英文摘要: Based on air temperature data observed in 19 meteorological stations in the south slope of Qilian Mountains and its nearby regions from 1960 to 2014,the methods of linear regression,correlation analysis, polynomial trend,moving mean,Hurst index and ArcGIS were used to analyze the temporal variability and spatial distribution of air temperature. The results are as follows. (1) The mean annual air temperature,the minimum and the maximum temperature exhibited unanimously fluctuating increasing trend with the rates of 0.35℃/decade,0.27℃/decade,0.47℃/decade,respectively. (2) The variation trend of seasonal mean temperature, the maximum and the minimum temperature showed an upward trend,and the most significant increase occurred in winter. (3) From the point of view on the inter-decadal mean temperature,the maximum and the minimum temperature variation,the trend of temperature rise in 20002014 was lower than that of 19901999,which did not mean that global warming had stagnated,was caused by external force of nature. (4) The Hurst index of air temperature was 0.5
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154894
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.青海师范大学
2.青海师范大学地理科学学院, 青海省自然地理与环境过程重点实验室
3., 西宁
4.西宁,
5.810008
6.810008

Recommended Citation:
曹广超,付建新,李玲琴,等. 19602014年祁连山南坡及其附近地区气温时空变化特征[J]. 水土保持研究,2018-01-01,25(3):690-700
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