globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6283588
论文题名:
1961-2014年中国不同城市化地区暴雨时空格局变化以京津冀、长三角和珠三角地区为例
其他题名: Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Heavy Rainfall in Different Urbanized Areas of China from 1961 to 2014:Taking Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta as an Example
作者: 谭畅1; 孔锋2; 郭君3; 吕丽莉4; 孙劭5
刊名: 灾害学
ISSN: 1000-811X
出版年: 2018
卷: 33, 期:3, 页码:72-78
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 城市群 ; 暴雨 ; 时空格局 ; 京津冀、长三角和珠三角地区
英文关键词: climate change ; urban agglomeration ; rainstorm ; temporal spatial pattern ; Beijing Tianjin Hebei,Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta region
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 采用多种统计方法对比1961-2014年京津冀、长三角和珠三角三大城市地区的暴雨时空演变特征。结果表明:1961-2014年京津冀地区年际单站暴雨雨量、雨日和雨强呈减少趋势,而长三角和珠三角地区年际单站暴雨雨量、雨日和雨强呈增加趋势,且年代际暴雨也有类似变化特征。三大城市群暴雨雨量、雨日和雨强均存在3、6、15和30年左右的周期波动特征,但基本均未通过0.05显著性水平的检验。京津冀地区的暴雨雨量和雨日分别在1967和1965年发生突变;长三角地区的暴雨雨量、雨日和雨强分别在1983、1983和2013年发生突变;珠三角地区的暴雨雨量和雨强分别在2011和2012年发生突变,且均通过了0.05显著性水平的检验。在空间分布上,1961-2014年京津冀地区的暴雨雨量、雨日和雨强以减少趋势为主,而长三角和珠三角地区的暴雨雨量、雨日和雨强则以增加趋势为主。最后对三大城市群防洪减灾提出了政策建议。
英文摘要: We use a variety of statistical methods to compare the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of heavy rainfall in three major urban areas of Beijing Tianjin Hebei,Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta from 1961 to 2014 years.The results show that Beijing Tianjin Hebei region's annual single station's heavy rainfall amounts,days and intensity presented decreasing trend from 1961 to 2014,while Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions' annual single station's heavy rainfall amounts,days and intensity showed increasing trend.And decadal heavy rainfall also had similar change characteristics.Three urban agglomeration's heavy rainfall amounts,days and intensity all had 3,6,15 and 30 year cycle characteristics,but not passed the test of 0.05 significant levels.Beijing Tianjin Hebei region's heavy rainfall amounts and days respectively mutated in 1967 and 1965.The Yangtze River Delta region's heavy rainfall amounts,days and intensity respectively mutated in 1983,1983 and 2013.The rainfall and rainfall intensity in the Pearl River Delta region were mutated in 2011 and 2012 respectively,and all of them passed the test of 0.05 significant levels.The spatial distribution of heavy rainfall amounts,days and intensity mainly showed decreasing trend in Beijing Tianjin Hebei region,while the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta region showed increasing trends.This research suggests that in city regions need to further establish and improve the comprehensive disaster management system,improve the forecast and early warning system for disaster monitoring,strengthening the overall planning of the city scientific proof,improve ecological service ability,enhance people's awareness of disaster prevention and mitigation,strengthen the ability construction of metropolis to deal with catastrophe.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155127
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.南京信息工程大学计算机与软件学院
2.重庆市气象局,
3., 南京
4., 江苏
5.重庆 210044
6.402360, 中国
7.清华大学公共管理学院
8.中国气象局气象干部培训学院,
9.,
10., 北京
11.北京 100084
12.100081, 中国
13.清华大学公共管理学院, 北京 100084, 中国
14.中国气象局气象干部培训学院, 北京 100081, 中国
15.中国气象局国家气候中心, 北京 100081, 中国

Recommended Citation:
谭畅,孔锋,郭君,等. 1961-2014年中国不同城市化地区暴雨时空格局变化以京津冀、长三角和珠三角地区为例[J]. 灾害学,2018-01-01,33(3):72-78
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