globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6286129
论文题名:
二氧化碳排放与经济增长关系的实证分析
其他题名: The empirical analysis of the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth
作者: 赵哲1; 陈建成1; 白羽萍2; 王国峰3; 刘雨4
刊名: 中国环境科学
ISSN: 1000-6923
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期:7, 页码:74-78
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 经济发展水平 ; 人均二氧化碳排放量 ; VAR模型 ; 格兰杰因果检验 ; 政策启示
英文关键词: the level of economic development ; per capita carbon dioxide emissions ; VAR model ; Granger causality ; policy implications
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 在全球范围内为应对气候变化而达成二氧化碳减排共识的背景下,探求经济增长与二氧化碳排放间相互关系.运用协整,向量自回归模型,脉冲响应函数以及格兰杰因果检验等方法,对处在经济发展不同阶段区域的人均二氧化碳排放量与经济增长间关系进行因果检验.研究结果表明:区域经济发展与人均二氧化碳排放量存在长期均衡关系,但是由于区域间经济发展水平及发展方式的不同,人均二氧化碳排放量与经济增长间相互影响程度存在差异,且二氧化碳排放量的减少并不是经济增长的必然结果,必须通过产业结构调整,扶持第三产业,使用清洁能源,发展低碳经济的方式来实现,本文对我国碳减排政策的制定具有一定借鉴意义.
英文摘要: In the context of answering climate change and reaching a consensus on reducing carbon dioxide emissions in global scale.Exploring the relationships between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions is of great significance.Cointegration,vector autoregressive model(VAR),impulse response function and Granger causality were applied in this paper to analysis the causal relationship between carbon emissions per capita and economic growth in six regions with different economic development level.The results showed that there was a long-run equilibrium relationship between region economic development and per capita carbon emissions.However,due to various economic development levels and development models in the specific region,the degree of carbon dioxide emissions per capita was different from that of economic growth;meanwhile economic growth could not guarantee the reducing of carbon emissions.The reasonable way to achieve this is through adjusting industrial structure,strengthening the third industry,using clean energy,applying low carbon economy development way,which is of great significance in implemet policices to reduce emissions in China.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155239
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.北京林业大学经济管理学院, 北京 10083, 中国
2.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
3.中国科学院农业政策研究中心
4.中国科学院大学,
5.,
6., 北京
7.北京
8.北京 100101
9.100101
10.100101, 中国
11.山西财经大学国际经济与贸易学院, 太原, 山西 030006, 中国
12.山东师范大学地理与环境学院, 济南, 山东 250358, 中国

Recommended Citation:
赵哲,陈建成,白羽萍,等. 二氧化碳排放与经济增长关系的实证分析[J]. 中国环境科学,2018-01-01,38(7):74-78
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