globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6318857
论文题名:
空间溢出效应视角下低碳技术创新对气候变化的响应
其他题名: Low-carbon technology innovation responding to climate change based on perspective of spatial spillover effect
作者: 王为东; 卢娜; 张财经
刊名: 中国人口·资源与环境
ISSN: 1002-2104
出版年: 2018
卷: 28, 期:8, 页码:763-778
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 低碳技术创新 ; 气候变化 ; 空间溢出效应
英文关键词: low-carbon technology innovation ; climate change ; spatial spillover effect
WOS学科分类: ECONOMICS
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics
中文摘要: 中国应对气候变化的技术努力已有多年,有必要实证检验这一努力的成效,主要是中国低碳技术创新对气候变化的响应效果。本文基于20042015年中国30个省市的空间面板数据,首先采用ESDA方法对低碳技术进行空间相关性分析,接着采用SDM模型实证分析低碳技术创新响应气候变化的空间溢出效应。研究发现:①中国低碳技术供给与需求在空间分布上有一定偏差,代表技术供给的低碳技术创新活动呈现由东向西扩散的特征,东部地区始终最为活跃,中、西部地区创新活力则梯次下降。而碳排放具有西移的特征,代表了低碳技术需求的变化方向。②中国低碳技术创新响应了气候变化趋势,表明多年努力取得了成效;而响应的空间溢出效应尽管是正向的,但尚不显著,表明各区域的低碳技术创新活动仍处于各自为战的阶段。③环境规制与市场拉动是低碳技术创新的重要影响因素。其中,支持性环境规制政策与抑制性环境规制政策均能促进本地低碳技术创新,但空间溢出效应不显著,表明各区域在环境政策上是逐顶竞争关系,但各自为政,示范效应不足。市场拉动指标经济增长与出口对本地低碳技术创新均具有较高水平且显著的促进作用,出口同时具有显著的空间溢出效应,但经济增长抑制邻近地区低碳技术创新。据此,本文的政策含义包括:加强中国低碳技术应对气候变化的区域协同治理,推动创新要素合理流动;充分发挥环境规制的示范效应,改善政策组合;发挥市场的拉动作用,延伸并升级绿色产业链。
英文摘要: China's technological efforts to tackle climate change have lasted for many years.It is necessary to test the effect of these efforts with quantitative method.To be exact,whether and how China's low-carbon technology innovation responds to climate change should be tested.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2004 to 2015 in China,we use the method of ESDA to analyze the spatial correlation of China's low-carbon innovation technology.Furthermore,we use the SDM model empirically analyzing the spatial spillover effect.The results show that:①Supply and demand of Chinese low-carbon innovation has some deviation in the spatial distribution.The low-carbon technology innovation as the supply factor shows the characteristics of expanding from the east to the west.Innovation in eastern China has always been the most active,but innovative activities in the middle and western China are gradually decreased.While carbon emissions have the characteristics ofmoving westward',implying the change of technology demand different from technology supply.②China's low-carbon innovation actively responds to the trend of climate change,indicating that China's technological efforts have paid off.However,the spatial spillover effect is not significant,showing that the efforts in each region of China still work for itself.③Environmental regulation and pulling effect of market are important factors for low-carbon technology innovation.Among them,both supporting policy and inhibitory policy have significant impacts on the local low-carbon technology innovation,but no significant spatial spillover effect.It shows that environmental policies in different regions are competitive and lack of demonstration effects.Economic growth and export as the pulling effect of market have higher level of effects on low-carbon technology innovation for both local and adjacent areas.Some policy implications include:Firstly,regional coordinated development is necessary in China,resources should reasonably flow from eastern to middle and western China.Secondly,local governments should take advantage of environmental regulation and improve combination of different policies.Thirdly,China should exert the role of both domestic and international markets,and extend and upgrade the green industry chain.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155332
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 江苏大学财经学院, 镇江, 江苏 212013, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王为东,卢娜,张财经. 空间溢出效应视角下低碳技术创新对气候变化的响应[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境,2018-01-01,28(8):763-778
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