globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6390232
论文题名:
变化环境下珠三角城市群水资源脆弱性评价
其他题名: Assessment of water resource vulnerability of the Pearl River Delta metropolitan under environment change
作者: 林钟华1; 刘丙军2; 伍颖婷3; 彭思涵1
刊名: 中山大学学报. 自然科学版
ISSN: 0529-6579
出版年: 2018
卷: 57, 期:6, 页码:782-787
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 水资源脆弱性 ; VSD 概念框架 ; 珠三角城市群
英文关键词: the vulnerability of water resource ; VSD model ; the Pearl River Delta metropolitan
WOS学科分类: ENGINEERING MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Engineering
中文摘要: 变化环境下珠三角城市群水资源系统面临着气候变化与高强度人类活动多要素、多风险共同干扰,其水资源系统脆弱性呈现多维性、多变性与不确定性.基于VSD概念框架,构建了基于暴露度、敏感性和适应能力维度的水资源脆弱性评价指标体系,对1985 - 2015年珠三角城市群各城市水资源脆弱性演变特征进行了研究,结果表明: 1)珠三角城市群水资源脆弱性演变可划分为3种类型:深圳、东莞和中山市水资源脆弱性逐年上升,广州、佛山和珠海市水资源脆弱性趋于稳定,肇庆、惠州和江门市水资源脆弱性逐年下降.2)各城市水资源敏感性和适应能力演变相似,水资源暴露度演变差异较大:水资源脆弱性上升的城市受社会经济发展胁迫最大,其人均本地水资源数量仅为国际水紧张警戒线的19%,水资源脆弱性稳定的城市受社会经济发展胁迫程度中等,其人均本地水资源数量为国际水紧张警戒线的42%,水资源脆弱性下降的城市受社会经济发展胁迫最小,其人均本地水资源数量达国际水紧张警戒线的1. 8倍.
英文摘要: The water resource vulnerability of the Pearl River Delta metropolises under the changing environment is multidimensional,changeable and uncertain,with the impact of multiple interference resulted from climate change and intensive human activities. This paper develops an index of water resource vulnerability evaluation of the Pearl River Delta metropolises based on VSD model including exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity. An integrated assessment is conducted on the water resource vulnerability of the Pearl River Delta metropolises in 1985 - 2015. The results show that ( 1) The water resource vulnerability increased in Shenzhen,Dongguan and Zhongshan,stabilized in Guangzhou,Foshan and Zhuhai,and decreased in Zhaoqing,Huizhou and Jiangmen. ( 2) The time trends of sensitivities and adaptive capacities are similar for all cities,but the time trends of exposures vary from each other. On average, the water resource per capita in cities with rising vulnerabilities is 19% of water stress state,under big stress of socioeconomic development. The water resource per capita in cities with steady vulnerabilities is 42% of water stress state,under medium stress of socioeconomic development. The water resource per capita in cities with decreasing vulnerabilities is 1. 8 times water stress state,under the lowest stress of socioeconomic development.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155437
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中山大学地理科学与规划学院, 广州, 广东 510275, 中国
2.中山大学地理科学与规划学院
3.华南地区水循环与水安全广东省普通高校重点实验室∥广东省华南地区水安全调控工程技术研究中心,
4.华南地区水循环与水安全广东省普通高校重点实验室
5.广东省华南地区水安全调控工程技术研究中心, 广州
6.广州, 广东
7.广东 510275
8.510275, 中国
9.广州市发展和改革委员会, 广州, 广东 510030, 中国

Recommended Citation:
林钟华,刘丙军,伍颖婷,等. 变化环境下珠三角城市群水资源脆弱性评价[J]. 中山大学学报. 自然科学版,2018-01-01,57(6):782-787
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