globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6516978
论文题名:
考虑气象因子的不确定性灌溉水资源优化配置
其他题名: Optimal allocation of irrigation water resources based on meteorological factor under uncertainty
作者: 德佳硕; 郭萍; 张成龙; 岳琼; 单宝英
刊名: 排灌机械工程学报
ISSN: 1674-8530
出版年: 2019
卷: 37, 期:6, 页码:881-888
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气象因子 ; 灌区水资源 ; 优化配置 ; 不确定性 ; 区间作物水分生产函数 ; 函数区间
英文关键词: meteorological factor ; irrigation water resources ; optimal allocation ; uncertainty ; interval crop water production functions ; function interval
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 基于不确定性区间作物水分生产函数,选取春小麦、玉米、棉花和白兰瓜这4种典型作物,建立不确定性条件下灌溉水资源优化配置模型,并将气象因子(蒸发蒸腾量和相对湿度)的不确定性引入其中,以反映气候变化对灌区配水的影响.结果表明,在石羊河流域民勤地区,玉米单方水经济效益较低,故其优化灌溉定额相比现状灌溉定额变化较大.棉花是单方水经济效益最大的作物,其次是白兰瓜,所以当可用水量短缺时,在确保粮食安全的前提下,为降低因灌溉缺水而带来的经济损失,要优先保证棉花和白兰瓜灌溉用水.引入气象因子的灌区水资源优化配置模型区间优化配水定额范围更广,反映出气象因子对灌区配水的影响.本研究验证了不确定性方法在实际应用的可行性,可为灌区水资源合理分配提供更可靠的科学依据.
英文摘要: Based on the interval crop water production functions under uncertainty,spring wheat, corn,cotton and honey dew melon were selected as study crops. Then the optimal allocation of water resources model in the Minqin irrigation region under uncertainty was established. Besides,to reflect the impact of climate change on irrigation water allocation,the uncertainty of meteorological factors (ET0 and RH) were also introduced in the model. The results show that the economic benefits per unit water of corn is low in the Minqin irrigation region and its optimal irrigation quota is larger than the current irrigation quota. Cotton has the biggest economic benefits per unit water in the Minqin irrigation region,followed by honey dew melon. In the case of limited available water and the premise of ensuring food security,the irrigation water for cotton and honey dew melon should be firstly ensured to reduce the economic loss. The model including meteorological factors has a wider range of interval solutions, which reflects the impact of meteorological factors on water allocation. This study verifies the feasibility of the uncertainty method in practical application and provides a more reliable scientific basis for the rational allocation of water resources in irrigation areas.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155934
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 中国农业大学水利与土木工程学院, 北京 100083, 中国

Recommended Citation:
德佳硕,郭萍,张成龙,等. 考虑气象因子的不确定性灌溉水资源优化配置[J]. 排灌机械工程学报,2019-01-01,37(6):881-888
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