globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6496323
论文题名:
基于地理加权回归克里格模型的帽儿山地区森林碳储量空间分布
其他题名: Spatial distribution of forest carbon storage in Maoershan region,Northeast China based on geographically weighted regression kriging model
作者: 孙钰森1; 王维芳1; 李国春2
刊名: 应用生态学报
ISSN: 1001-9332
出版年: 2019
卷: 30, 期:5, 页码:95-100
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 森林碳储量 ; 最小二乘回归 ; 地理加权回归 ; 地理加权回归克里格 ; 空间异质性
英文关键词: forest carbon storage ; ordinary least square ; geographically weighted regression ; geographically weighted regression Kriging ; spatial heterogeneity
WOS学科分类: FORESTRY
WOS研究方向: Forestry
中文摘要: 森林碳储量对于全球气候变化具有重要影响,以往的模型估算未考虑到模型残差的空间相关性和碳储量数据的非平稳性,影响模型的预测精度.本研究基于东北林业大学帽儿山实验林场的ETM+遥感影像数据和193块固定样地,利用地理加权克里格回归(GWRK)建立森林碳储量与遥感和地形因子的回归模型,同时对比最小二乘模型(OLS)、地理加权回归模型(GWR)的预测精度.结果表明:对于帽儿山地区的森林碳储量估算,GWRK 的平均绝对误差(MAE)、均方根误差(RMSE)低于OLS 模型和GWR 模型,GWRK 模型的平均误差(ME)低于GWR 模型,与OLS 模型相近.GWRK 模型的预测精度为83.2%,较OLS 模型(73.7%)和 GWR 模型(77.3%)分别提高6%和10%,拟合精度明显提高,说明GWRK 模型是森林碳储量估算的有效方法.利用GWRK 模型预测的研究区森林碳储量平均值为70.31t·hm~(-2),在海拔较高的地区,森林碳储量值相对较高,说明海拔对其有较大影响.
英文摘要: Forest carbon storage has important impacts on climate change.The previous models do not take into consideration of the inherent spatial correlation structure of residual and non-stationary of forest carbon storage which limits the prediction accuracy.Based on ETM + remotely sensed imagery and 193 fixed plots of Maoershan Experimental Forest Farm of Northeast Forestry University,we established the geographically weighted regression kriging (GWRK) model between forest carbon storage and extracted factors from remotely sensed imagery and topographic factors.The prediction accuracy of GWRK,ordinary least square (OLS) model and geographically weighted regression(GWR) were compared.The results showed that the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of GWRK were lower than those of OLS and GWR models,while the mean error(ME) of GWRK model was lower than that of GWR model and was close to that of OLS model.The prediction accuracy of GWRK model was 83.2%,which was 6% and 10% higher than that of OLS model (73.7%) and GWR model (77.3%).Therefore,the GWRK model was more effective in estimating forest carbon storage than the others.The mean value of forest carbon storage predicted by GWRK model was 70.31 t·hm~(-2).The relatively high values presented in high altitude area,indicating that altitude had a great impact on forest carbon storage.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/156254
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.东北林业大学林学院, 哈尔滨, 黑龙江 150049, 中国
2.黑龙江省林业监测规划院, 哈尔滨, 黑龙江 150070, 中国

Recommended Citation:
孙钰森,王维芳,李国春. 基于地理加权回归克里格模型的帽儿山地区森林碳储量空间分布[J]. 应用生态学报,2019-01-01,30(5):95-100
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