globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6449304
论文题名:
中国人为热变化及其对地表能量平衡的影响
其他题名: Spatio-temporal changes ofanthropogenic heat release and its impact on land surface energy balanceover China
作者: 金凯1; 王飞2; 刘欢欢3; 苟娇娇4; 丁文斌1
刊名: 中国环境科学
ISSN: 1000-6923
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:3, 页码:97-103
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 中国 ; 人为热 ; 太阳辐射 ; 地表能量平衡
英文关键词: China ; anthropogenic heat ; solar radiation ; surface energy balance
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 利用人口统计、分布数据及能源消费统计资料,对中国1980~2015年人为热通量(Q_a)的时空变化进行了研究,并将其与地表净太阳辐射(R_n)进行了对比分析,以探讨人为热对不同尺度地表能量平衡的影响.结果表明,在研究时段内,全国平均Q_a呈显著升高趋势(0.11W/m~2/10a,P<0.001),从1980年的0.07W/m~2上升到2015年的0.45W/m~2,已经约相当于全球工业革命以来CO_2排放引起辐射强迫(1.68W/m~2)的27%;其中Q_a高值区(≥1.00W/m~2)已由1990年的点状分布变为2015年的面状分布,占到全国面积的10%;全国平均R_n的趋势率(0.18W/m~2/10a)略大于Q_a,但未通过显著性检验(P=0.381).对于参与计算的31个省会城市,2015年市区Q_a平均值在1~32W/m~2之间,平均达17W/m~2,相当于R_n平均值(147W/m~2)的12%;在栅格尺度上(0.5min*0.5min),除拉萨外,其余城市的Q_a像元最大值均超过了120W/m~2,已经导致局地的热平衡发生了本质变化.研究认为,人为热释放因素不但需要在城市气候模拟研究中给予更多考虑,而且在全球和区域气候模拟与评价中以及制定气候变化应对策略时也有必要给予充分考虑,以促进全面认识并减缓气温升高.
英文摘要: The spatio-temporal changes of anthropogenic heat flux (Q_a) in 1980~2015 over China were investigated based on the statistical and gridded population data and the statistics of energy consumption. The surface net solar radiation (R_n) was used to describe the impact of Q_a on land surface energy balance. The results showed that the national average Q_a increased from 0.07W/m~2 in 1980 to 0.45W/m~2 in 2015, with an increasing trend of 0.11W/m~2/10a(P<0.001). The national average Q_a in 2015 accounted for 27% of the global radiative forcing resulting from anthropogenic CO_2 emissions since the beginning of the industrial revolution. The sites with aQ_a more than 1.00W/m~2 extended from spotted distribution to continuous areasfrom1990 to 2015, and its area accountedfor 10% of China's total area in 2015. Moreover, the changeof R_n was slightlyfaster than that of Q_a, but not significantly (P=0.381). The mean Q_a in urban areas of the 31provincial capital cities ranged from 1 to 32W/m~2 and the mean intensity was up to17W/m~2 in 2015. The ratio of mean Q_a to mean R_n(149W/m~2) of the 31capital cities on average was approximately12%. Except for Lhasa, the maximum pixel (0.5min*0.5min) value of Q_a exceeded120W/m~2 ineach city that implying the local energy balancehas already been changed substantially. We strongly suggested that anthropogenic heat release should be considered in the study of urban climate simulation, regional climate simulation and assessment, and making coping strategy about climate change for better strategy to slow down the warming trend.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/156341
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.西北农林科技大学水土保持研究所, 杨凌, 陕西 712100, 中国
2.西北农林科技大学水土保持研究所
3.中国科学院水利部水土保持研究所
4.中国科学院大学,
5., 杨凌
6.杨凌
7., 陕西
8.陕西
9.北京 712100
10.712100
11.100049, 中国
12.绥德县第一中学, 绥德, 陕西 718099, 中国
13.北京师范大学地理科学学部, 地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室, 北京 100875, 中国

Recommended Citation:
金凯,王飞,刘欢欢,等. 中国人为热变化及其对地表能量平衡的影响[J]. 中国环境科学,2019-01-01,39(3):97-103
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