Objective] By 2013,Xinjiang jujube cultivation area ranked first in China, jujube industry has now become a pillar industry in some areas of Xinjiang and it has brought large amount of wealth to farmers.Meanwhile acreage explosive growth also raises concerns about whether there is overcapacity problem. Through the study of the red date industry cyclical fluctuations, the risk of Xinjiang red dates industry was researched and the source of prevention and control measures were explored.[Method] The time-difference correlation analytical method and the peak-valley corresponding method were applied to reveal the leading, coincidence, lagging indicators in the state of Xinjiang jujube industry development, and the development of current situation was analyzed and the future trend of the jujube industry in Xinjiang evaluated.[Result]The results show that Xinjiang jujube industry is in a state of steady development,however,there are many signals showing that industrial development is declining.[ Conclusion] To counter the causes of industry decline, some suggestions to optimize financial service system were raised to improve the product primary processing capacity and perfect the market′s function of service, information, supervision and diversified development model to resist relevant risks in the industry.