globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5497265
论文题名:
温室气体变化数值模拟试验中全球降水和温度变化的迟滞效应
其他题名: Hysteresis Effect in the Temperature and Precipitation Changes in Numerical Simulation with Varying Greenhouse Gas
作者: 孙道勋; 杨海军
刊名: 北京大学学报. 自然科学版
ISSN: 0479-8023
出版年: 2015
卷: 51, 期:4, 页码:763-771
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 耦合模式 ; 温室效应 ; 变动气候 ; 降水 ; 迟滞效应
英文关键词: coupled model ; greenhouse gas effect ; varying climate ; precipitation ; hysteresis effect
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用耦合气候模式(GFDL-CM2.1)研究变动气候背景下全球平均降水和温度的变化。不同情景CO_2强迫试验表明, 降水变化存在明显的迟滞效应。全球平均降水与地表温度的变化存在显著的线性关系, 但是降水同时也受到CO_2浓度的直接影响。在CO_2增加又恢复的试验中, 降水变化滞后于地表温度变化, 出现降水 迟滞效应。在CO_2增加过程中, 温室效应增强会立即导致大气长波吸收增强, 大气获得的净辐射能量增加, 为维持大气能量收支平衡, 地面向上潜热通量受到抑制, 形成CO_2增加对降水的抑制效应。随之而来的温度上升则主要引起大气层顶出射长波辐射以及大气对地表的长波回辐射增加, 大气净辐射能量减少, 地面潜热通量增加, 从而引起降水的增加。在CO_2减少过程中, 情况正好相反, 温室效应减弱会增加降水, 而温度降低会减少降水。温度和CO_2对降水的不同影响决定了降水的迟滞效应。
英文摘要: A series of numerical simulations are conducted (using GFDL CM2.1) to investigate the global mean precipitation and temperature change in response to climate variation. Experiments under different carbon dioxide (CO_2) forcing indicate an obvious precipitation hysteresis. There is a significant linear relationship between global mean precipitation and surface temperature, but precipitation is also influenced directly by CO_2 concentration. During the experiments in which CO_2 concentration rises up and then falls back, precipitation change lags behind surface temperature, which leads to the precipitation hysteresis. While CO_2 increasing, the enhanced greenhouse effect will lead to immediate intension of atmospheric long-wave absorption, which will bring net radiative energy income to atmosphere. To balance the energy budget, upward latent heat has to be restrained, so the additional CO_2 has inhibiting effect on precipitation. The subsequent warming mainly induces increasing in outgoing long wave radiation at TOA and backward long wave radiation at surface, which is equivalent to a radiative cooling for atmosphere, and then causes precipitation rising. While CO_2 decreasing, on the contrary, the subdued greenhouse effect tends to intensify precipitation and the temperature reduction will reduce the precipitation. Different effects on precipitation from temperature and CO_2 determine the precipitation hysteresis.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/156955
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 北京大学气候与海-气实验室, 北京大学物理学院大气与海洋科学系, 北京 100871, 中国

Recommended Citation:
孙道勋,杨海军. 温室气体变化数值模拟试验中全球降水和温度变化的迟滞效应[J]. 北京大学学报. 自然科学版,2015-01-01,51(4):763-771
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