globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6517485
论文题名:
基于小波分析的我国森林草原火灾周期震荡研究
其他题名: Studies on periodicity variation of forest and grassland fires in China based on wavelet analysis
作者: 张恒; 乔国伟; 张秋良
刊名: 林业工程学报
ISSN: 2096-1359
出版年: 2019
卷: 4, 期:2, 页码:139-145
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 小波分析 ; 森林火灾 ; 草原火灾 ; 过火面积 ; 发生次数
英文关键词: wavelet analysis ; forest fires ; grassland fires ; burned area ; occurrence times
WOS学科分类: FORESTRY
WOS研究方向: Forestry
中文摘要: 火灾是森林草原生态的重要干扰因子,研究火灾发生的子因素有助于分析森林草原火灾发生规律和预测火灾发展趋势.运用软件Matlab 2009a对我国森林草原火灾统计资料进行小波分析,Daubechies 10作为小波基进行小波分解与重构,讨论多种火灾影响因素下不同时间尺度的子序列对森林草原火灾的影响.结果表明: 19932003年森林火灾面积呈小幅上升趋势, 20042016年森林火灾面积呈小幅下降趋势; 19942004年草原火灾面积呈上升趋势, 20052016年草原火灾面积呈稳定下降趋势,预计未来我国森林、草原火灾发生面积将继续呈小幅减少趋势.森林与草原火灾发生次数总体呈下降趋势,但森林火灾发生次数仍处于小波谷中,预计未来我国草原火灾发生次数保持稳定降低的趋势,森林火灾发生次数虽然会在较低水平波动,但较2016年森林火灾发生频率可能会更高,所以未来森林火灾的发生还将处在一个相对较活跃的状态.
英文摘要: Fire is an important disturbance factor in forest and grassland ecology. The study of the subfactors of fire occurrence can help analyze the law of occurrence of forest and grassland fires and predict the trend of fire development. The software Matlab 2009a was used to carry out the wavelet analysis of statistical data of China's forest and grassland fires. Daubechies 10 was used as a wavelet base to decompose and reconstruct the wavelets. The effects of subsequences of different time scales on forest and grassland fires under various fire influence factors were discussed. The results showed that,on the time scale of 2-5 years,forest and grassland fires were quite different,and their periodicity was not obvious. Grassland fires occurred frequently in about 3-5 years,indicating that human factors were the main causes of grassland fires except for a few other factors. On the time scale of more than 10 years,the fluctuation of fuels and vegetation had slight effect on the number of forest and grassland fires in recent years. Although the longterm climate could have a greater impact,the number of forest and grassland fires has remained at a relatively low level, and the areas of forest fires showed a slight increase trend in 1993-2003,and the areas of forest fires showed a slight decline trend in 2004-2016. The areas of grassland fires showed an increase trend in 1994-2004,and the areas of grassland fires showed a steady decline trend in 2005-2016. It was expected that the areas of forest and grassland fires in China would continue to decrease slightly in the future. The occurrence times of forest and grassland fires generally showed decline trends,but the occurrence times of forest fires were still in the wavelet trough,expecting that the occurrence times of grassland fires would continue to decrease steadily. Although the occurrence times of forest fires would fluctuate at a relatively low level,the frequency of fire may be higher than that in 2016,so the occurrence of forest fires would also be in a relatively active state in the future.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/157826
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 内蒙古农业大学林学院, 呼和浩特, 内蒙古 010018, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张恒,乔国伟,张秋良. 基于小波分析的我国森林草原火灾周期震荡研究[J]. 林业工程学报,2019-01-01,4(2):139-145
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[张恒]'s Articles
[乔国伟]'s Articles
[张秋良]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[张恒]'s Articles
[乔国伟]'s Articles
[张秋良]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[张恒]‘s Articles
[乔国伟]‘s Articles
[张秋良]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.