globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.11.032
论文题名:
Impacts of global warming on photovoltaic power generation over West Africa
作者: Sawadogo W.; Abiodun B.J.; Okogbue E.C.
刊名: Renewable Energy
ISSN: 9601481
出版年: 2020
卷: 151
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Global dimming ; Global warming ; Paris agreement ; Solar energy ; West Africa
Scopus关键词: Developing countries ; Global warming ; Photovoltaic cells ; Solar energy ; Attractive solutions ; Climate change scenarios ; Climate variables ; Global dimming ; Photovoltaic power generation ; Regional climate model simulation ; Seasonal variation ; West Africa ; Climate models ; climate change ; climate modeling ; energy planning ; global warming ; international agreement ; photovoltaic system ; power generation ; seasonal variation ; solar power ; West Africa
英文摘要: Many West African countries are plagued with poor electricity. The abundance of solar irradiance over the region makes solar energy an attractive solution to the problem, but there is a dearth of information on how the ongoing solar dimming and global warming may alter the solar energy over the region in the future at various global warming levels. This study investigates the impact of climate change on photovoltaic power generation potential (PVP) over West Africa under four global warming levels (1.5 °C; 2.0 °C; 2.5 °C and 3.0 °C) and under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) climate change scenario. Fourteen regional climate model simulations from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) were analysed for the study. The capability of the simulations to reproduce the PVP and climate variables over West Africa is quantified. The results show that the CORDEX simulation ensemble captures the spatial distribution and the annual cycle of climate variables and PVP over West Africa, though with few biases. The simulation and observation indicate that PVP over West Africa ranges from 8% to 25% and the annual cycle is influenced by the seasonal variation of the monsoon system. The simulation ensemble projects a decrease of PVP over West Africa in the future and indicates that the magnitude of the decrease grows with warming levels. The maximum decrease in PVP projected over any country or zone in the region is less than 3.8% even for a warming level of 3.0 °C. Hence, the study suggests that ongoing global warming may have an influence on PVP over West Africa. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/158237
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作者单位: West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Landuse (WASCAL), Graduate Research Program on West African Climate System, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria; Climate System Analysis Group, Department of Environmental and Geographical Science, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Department of Meteorology and Climate Science, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria

Recommended Citation:
Sawadogo W.,Abiodun B.J.,Okogbue E.C.. Impacts of global warming on photovoltaic power generation over West Africa[J]. Renewable Energy,2020-01-01,151
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