DOI: 10.1029/2019GL085347
论文题名: Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Landslides Over High Mountain Asia
作者: Kirschbaum D. ; Kapnick S.B. ; Stanley T. ; Pascale S.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 948276
出版年: 2020
卷: 47, 期: 4 语种: 英语
英文关键词: extreme precipitation
; Global Climate Models
; High Mountain Asia
; landslide modeling
; remote sensing
Scopus关键词: Climate models
; Hazards
; Landforms
; Landslides
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; Remote sensing
; Climate change scenarios
; Extreme precipitation
; Global climate model
; Global distribution
; High mountains
; Landslide hazard
; Precipitation data
; Rate of increase
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate modeling
; extreme event
; global climate
; hazard assessment
; human activity
; landslide
; mountain environment
; precipitation (climatology)
; rainfall
; remote sensing
; satellite altimetry
; trigger mechanism
; Asia
英文摘要: High Mountain Asia is impacted by extreme monsoonal rainfall that triggers landslides in large proportions relative to global distributions, resulting in substantial human impacts and damage to infrastructure each year. Previous landslide research has qualitatively estimated how patterns in landslide activity may change based on climate change scenarios. We present the first quantitative view of potential modulation in future landslide activity over the High Mountain Asia region leveraging a new landslide hazard model and precipitation data from satellite and Global Climate Model sources. In doing so, we find that the rate of increase in landslide activity at the end of the century is expected to be greatest over areas covered by current glaciers and glacial lakes, potentially exacerbating the impacts of cascading hazards on populations downstream. This work demonstrates the potential of Global Climate Models and satellite-based precipitation estimates to characterize landslide hazards at time scales affected by climate change. © 2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/159175
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States; NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, MD, United States; Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Kirschbaum D.,Kapnick S.B.,Stanley T.,et al. Changes in Extreme Precipitation and Landslides Over High Mountain Asia[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2020-01-01,47(4)