globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104578
论文题名:
Global to regional scale evaluation of adaptation measures to reduce the future water gap
作者: Straatsma M.; Droogers P.; Hunink J.; Berendrecht W.; Buitink J.; Buytaert W.; Karssenberg D.; Schmitz O.; Sutanudjaja E.H.; van Beek L.P.H.; Vitolo C.; Bierkens M.F.P.
刊名: Environmental Modelling and Software
ISSN: 13648152
出版年: 2020
卷: 124
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptation options ; Global hydrology ; Investment costs ; Water allocation ; Web-based simulation
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Decision making ; Economics ; Water supply ; Websites ; Adaptation options ; Global hydrology ; Investment costs ; Water allocations ; Web-based simulations ; Web services ; adaptive management ; climate change ; cost analysis ; decision making ; future prospect ; global change ; Gross Domestic Product ; hydrology ; investment ; resource allocation ; scale effect ; simulation ; twentieth century ; water demand ; water supply
英文摘要: The global water gap, water demand minus water supply, is expected to increase through 2100, negatively affecting agriculture, industry and households. Adaptation measures are necessary, but projections on their effectiveness and costs are currently unavailable. Here, we present an adaptation evaluation framework aimed at closing the water gap, which is applied offline at the global scale, and made available for regional decision making as a web service. It includes climate change and socioeconomic scenarios over the 21st century as drivers for global projections of water supply and demand. The transient water gap was calculated for 1604 water provinces globally and we determined the water gap reduction that could be achieved by three increasingly involved sets of adaptation measures. The median annual adaptation costs amount to 1.4–1.6% of the GDP per affected water province. The interactive web-based simulation allows users to include information that is not available at the global scale. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/159412
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Faculty of Geosciences, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, PO Box 80115, Utrecht, 3508 TC, Netherlands; FutureWater, Costerweg 1V, Wageningen, 6702AA, Netherlands; FutureWater, Paseo Alfonso XIII 48, Cartagena, Spain; Berendrecht Consultancy, Stakenbergerhout 107, Harderwijk, 3845 JE, Netherlands; Faculty of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London, Skempton Building, South Kensington Campus, London, SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom; Deltares, Utrecht, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Straatsma M.,Droogers P.,Hunink J.,et al. Global to regional scale evaluation of adaptation measures to reduce the future water gap[J]. Environmental Modelling and Software,2020-01-01,124
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