globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124396
论文题名:
The potential impact of climate variability on siltation of Andean reservoirs
作者: Rosas M.A.; Vanacker V.; Viveen W.; Gutierrez R.R.; Huggel C.
刊名: Journal of Hydrology
ISSN: 221694
出版年: 2020
卷: 581
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Andes ; Climate change ; Extreme Events ; Hydroelectric projects ; Sediment transport ; Soil Erosion ; Storage dams
Scopus关键词: Catchments ; Hydroelectric power plants ; Precipitation (meteorology) ; Reservoirs (water) ; Rivers ; Sediment transport ; Sedimentation ; Andes ; Extreme events ; Hydroelectric project ; Soil erosion ; Storage dams ; Climate change ; catchment ; climate change ; extreme event ; global climate ; hydrological modeling ; precipitation (chemistry) ; precipitation (climatology) ; reservoir ; river discharge ; sediment budget ; sediment transport ; silt ; siltation ; soil erosion ; vulnerability ; Andes ; Canete Basin ; Coastal Range [Taiwan] ; Lima [Peru] ; Peru
英文摘要: Recent changes in global climate, and especially changes in precipitation patterns, may negatively impact on siltation of Andean storage reservoirs, thereby putting at risk the provision of resources to the local population. The extent to which this may happen is poorly understood. We therefore studied the catchment of the Cañete River in the western Peruvian Coastal Range as it plays an important role in the socioeconomic development of the region. It houses the 220 MW El Platanal hydroelectric plant and the Capillucas reservoir that provide the surrounding areas with water and energy. We used a hydrological model (HEC-HMS) coupled with a sediment transport model (HEC-RAS) to simulate future changes in river discharge and sediment load. This information was then used to calculate the siltation of the Capillucas storage reservoir. Ten scenarios were developed, a combination of two different precipitation patterns and five different precipitation rates. The precipitation patterns differed in the distribution of the precipitation change during the rainfall season, and the precipitation rates differed in the extent of change in precipitation amounts. The average sediment load of the Cañete River was estimated at 981 kTon/yr upstream of the Capillucas reservoir and showed that the calculated life span of the Capillucas reservoir is about 17 years. The most pessimistic scenario suggested a reduction in the life span of the reservoir to 7 years and the most optimistic scenario to 31 years. Even under the most optimistic scenario, the life span of the reservoir is shorter than its officially expected functionality of 50 years. As such, our results demonstrated the vulnerability of Andean hydroelectric reservoirs against future climate change. © 2019 Elsevier B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/159578
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Earth and Life Institute, Georges Lemaître Centre for Earth and Climate Research, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium; Grupo de Investigación en Geología Sedimentaria, Especialidad de Ingeniería Geológica, Departamento de Ingeniería, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Av. Universitaria, 1801, San Miguel, Lima, Peru; Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla, Colombia; Department of Geography, University of Zurich, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Rosas M.A.,Vanacker V.,Viveen W.,et al. The potential impact of climate variability on siltation of Andean reservoirs[J]. Journal of Hydrology,2020-01-01,581
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