globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114110
论文题名:
Overheating risk in Mediterranean residential buildings: Comparison of current and future climate scenarios
作者: Rodrigues E.; Fernandes M.S.
刊名: Applied Energy
ISSN: 3062619
出版年: 2020
卷: 259
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Cooling demand ; Mediterranean climate ; Overheating risk ; Residential buildings ; Thermal transmittance
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Global warming ; Housing ; Location ; Climate projection ; Future climate scenarios ; Generative design methods ; Mediterranean climates ; Residential building ; Scientific literature ; Statistical comparisons ; Thermal transmittance ; Risk perception ; building ; climate effect ; comparative study ; cooling ; demand-side management ; design method ; future prospect ; global warming ; heat transfer ; heating ; Mediterranean environment ; residential location ; scenario analysis ; Alexandria [Egypt] ; Andalucia ; Casablanca [Morocco] ; Cyprus ; Egypt ; Larnaca ; Malaga [Andalucia] ; Montenegro ; Morocco ; Podgorica ; Spain ; Tunisia ; Valencia
英文摘要: One of the effects of climate change is global warming, which will increase cooling demand in buildings. However, scientific literature does not show consensus on the risk of highly insulated buildings being prone to overheating. This paper presents a statistical comparison of two synthetic datasets for current and future climates in sixteen Mediterranean locations. The weather data for the 2050 climate projection was generated by ‘morphing’ current weather data. The buildings were created using a generative design method to produce random geometries and random U-values for the envelope elements. Energy performance was evaluated using dynamic simulation. In addition to the expected general increase in cooling demand (up to 137 %) and a smaller reduction in heating demand (up to 63 %), the results demonstrate that the ideal U-values used in the current climate in almost all of the locations will not cause overheating. In several cases, the decrease of the U-values is even recommended for Podgorica, Valencia, Tunis, Malaga, Larnaca, and Alexandria, as the reduction of heating demand compensates the increase of cooling demand. Casablanca was the only location showing an increase in the ideal U-values, thus presenting risk of overheating if using current ideal U-values. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/159612
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作者单位: ADAI, LAETA, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Coimbra, Rua Luís Reis Santos, Pólo II, Coimbra, 3030-788, Portugal

Recommended Citation:
Rodrigues E.,Fernandes M.S.. Overheating risk in Mediterranean residential buildings: Comparison of current and future climate scenarios[J]. Applied Energy,2020-01-01,259
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