DOI: 10.1029/2019GB006195
论文题名: Absence of Age-Related Trends in Stable Oxygen Isotope Ratios From Oak Tree Rings
作者: Duffy J.E. ; McCarroll D. ; Loader N.J. ; Young G.H.F. ; Davies D. ; Miles D. ; Bronk Ramsey C.
刊名: Global Biogeochemical Cycles
ISSN: 0886-6236
EISSN: 1944-9224
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期: 7 语种: 英语
英文关键词: age structure
; cellulose
; climate effect
; dendrochronology
; historic building
; oxygen isotope
; paleoclimate
; stable isotope
; tree ring
; trend analysis
; United Kingdom
; Quercus
学科: age trends
; dendrochronology
; paleoclimate
; Quercus
; UK
中文摘要: The potential for age-related trends in the stable oxygen isotope ratios of latewood alpha cellulose was investigated in samples of living oak trees and historic building timbers from the UK. When the series are examined individually, it is clear that the strongest trends in individual trees and timbers reflect concurrent trends in climate. Nonclimatic trends are very small and represent random noise that can be removed by averaging. If the same data are analyzed using the more conventional approach of aligning the series by ring number and fitting a regression line, so that the magnitude of the age trend is based on the slope of the mean and the statistical significance on the correlation coefficient, the results are very different. We demonstrate that this conventional approach regularly produces spurious age trends with grossly inflated probabilities, because of offsets in the mean values of series of different length. We conclude that there is no need to detrend stable oxygen isotope series from individual trees or timbers of oak from the UK and that to do so would remove important climatic information. Long isotope chronologies can safely be constructed by combining data from multiple individual trees, or by pooling material from trees prior to chemical treatment and isotopic measurement. Age-related trends may occur in other species or in other regions, but where they have been identified using the conventional “slope of the mean” approach they should be reassessed using the “mean of the slope” approach. ©2019. The Authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/160159
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Department of Geography, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom; Research Laboratory for Archaeology and the History of Art, Oxford University, Oxford, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Duffy J.E.,McCarroll D.,Loader N.J.,et al. Absence of Age-Related Trends in Stable Oxygen Isotope Ratios From Oak Tree Rings[J]. Global Biogeochemical Cycles,2019-01-01,33(7)