DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-5901-2018
论文题名: Do users benefit from additional information in support of operational drought management decisions in the Ebro basin?
作者: Linés C. ; Iglesias A. ; Garrote L. ; Sotés V. ; Werner M.
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 1027-5606
出版年: 2018
卷: 22, 期: 11 起始页码: 5901
结束页码: 5917
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Aspect ratio
; Drought
; Irrigation
; Remote sensing
; Reservoirs (water)
; Risk analysis
; Snow
; Decision modeling
; Drought management
; Information support
; Informed decision
; Inter-related decisions
; Irrigation associations
; Irrigation districts
; Remote sensing data
; Decision making
; decision making
; drought
; remote sensing
; risk assessment
; satellite data
; snow cover
; water availability
; Ebro Basin
; Spain
英文摘要: We follow a user-based approach to examine how information supports operational drought management decisions in the Ebro basin and how these can benefit from additional information such as from remote sensing data. First we consulted decision-makers at basin, irrigation district and farmer scale to investigate the drought-related decisions they make and the information they use to support their decisions. This allowed us to identify the courses of action available to the farmers and water managers, and to analyse their choices as a function of the information they have available to them. Based on the findings of the consultation, a decision model representing the interrelated decisions of the irrigation association and the farmers was built. The purpose of the model is to quantify the effect of additional information on the decisions made. The modelled decisions, which consider the allocation of water, are determined by the expected availability of water during the irrigation season. This is currently informed primarily by observed reservoir level data. The decision model was then extended to include additional information on snow cover from remote sensing. The additional information was found to contribute to better decisions in the simulation and ultimately higher benefits for the farmers. However, the ratio between the cost of planting and the market value of the crop proved to be a critical aspect in determining the best course of action to be taken and the value of the (additional) information. Risk-averse farmers were found to benefit least from the additional information, while less risk-averse farmers stand to benefit most as the additional information helps them take better informed decisions when weighing their options. © 2018 Copernicus GmbH. All rights reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/163137
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Linés, C., Department of Water Science and Engineering, IHE-Delft, Delft, Netherlands; Iglesias, A., Department of Agricultural Economics and Social Sciences, Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain; Garrote, L., Department of Civil Engineering: Hydraulics, Energy and Environment, Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain; Sotés, V., Department of Agricultural Economics and Social Sciences, Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain; Werner, M., Department of Water Science and Engineering, IHE-Delft, Delft, Netherlands, Department of Plant Production, Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Recommended Citation:
Linés C.,Iglesias A.,Garrote L.,et al. Do users benefit from additional information in support of operational drought management decisions in the Ebro basin?[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2018-01-01,22(11)