DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2000299117
论文题名: Migratory behavior and winter geography drive differential range shifts of eastern birds in response to recent climate change
作者: Rushing C.S. ; Andrew Royle J. ; Ziolkowski D.J. ; Jr. ; Pardieck K.L.
刊名: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2020
卷: 117, 期: 23 起始页码: 12897
结束页码: 12903
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Breeding Bird Survey
; Migration
; Occupancy modeling
; Range shifts
; Species distribution modeling
Scopus关键词: bird
; breeding
; climate change
; geography
; migrant
; migratory species
; Neotropics
; nonhuman
; North America
; quantitative analysis
; resident
; review
; species distribution
; winter
; animal
; animal dispersal
; bird
; ecosystem monitoring
; geography
; physiology
; population dynamics
; population migration
; season
; Animal Distribution
; Animal Migration
; Animals
; Birds
; Climate Change
; Ecological Parameter Monitoring
; Geography
; North America
; Population Dynamics
; Seasons
英文摘要: Over the past half century, migratory birds in North America have shown divergent population trends relative to resident species, with the former declining rapidly and the latter increasing. The role that climate change has played in these observed trends is not well understood, despite significant warming over this period. We used 43 y of monitoring data to fit dynamic species distribution models and quantify the rate of latitudinal range shifts in 32 species of birds native to eastern North America. Since the early 1970s, species that remain in North America throughout the year, including both resident and migratory species, appear to have responded to climate change through both colonization of suitable area at the northern leading edge of their breeding distributions and adaption in place at the southern trailing edges. Neotropical migrants, in contrast, have shown the opposite pattern: contraction at their southern trailing edges and no measurable shifts in their northern leading edges. As a result, the latitudinal distributions of temperate-wintering species have increased while the latitudinal distributions of neotropical migrants have decreased. These results raise important questions about the mechanisms that determine range boundaries of neotropical migrants and suggest that these species may be particularly vulnerable to future climate change. Our results highlight the potential importance of climate change during the nonbreeding season in constraining the response of migratory species to temperature changes at both the trailing and leading edges of their breeding distributions. Future research on the interactions between breeding and nonbreeding climate change is urgently needed. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/164172
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Rushing, C.S., Department of Wildland Resources, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322, United States, Ecology Center, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322, United States, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, US Geological Survey, Laurel, MD 20708, United States; Andrew Royle, J., Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, US Geological Survey, Laurel, MD 20708, United States; Ziolkowski, D.J., Jr., Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, US Geological Survey, Laurel, MD 20708, United States; Pardieck, K.L., Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, US Geological Survey, Laurel, MD 20708, United States
Recommended Citation:
Rushing C.S.,Andrew Royle J.,Ziolkowski D.J.,et al. Migratory behavior and winter geography drive differential range shifts of eastern birds in response to recent climate change[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2020-01-01,117(23)