globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1900577117
论文题名:
Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050
作者: Otto I.M.; Donges J.F.; Cremades R.; Bhowmik A.; Hewitt R.J.; Lucht W.; Rockström J.; Allerberger F.; McCaffrey M.; Doe S.S.P.; Lenferna A.; Morán N.; van Vuuren D.P.; Schellnhuber H.J.
刊名: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2020
卷: 117, 期:5
起始页码: 2354
结束页码: 2365
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Decarbonization ; Paris Agreement ; Social tipping elements ; Social tipping interventions
Scopus关键词: fuel ; Article ; carbon footprint ; climate change ; climate resilience ; community dynamics ; energy yield ; environmental sustainability ; geology ; human ; population growth ; priority journal ; social norm ; socioeconomics
英文摘要: Safely achieving the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement requires a worldwide transformation to carbon-neutral societies within the next 30 y. Accelerated technological progress and policy implementations are required to deliver emissions reductions at rates sufficiently fast to avoid crossing dangerous tipping points in the Earth’s climate system. Here, we discuss and evaluate the potential of social tipping interventions (STIs) that can activate contagious processes of rapidly spreading technologies, behaviors, social norms, and structural reorganization within their functional domains that we refer to as social tipping elements (STEs). STEs are subdomains of the planetary socioeconomic system where the required disruptive change may take place and lead to a sufficiently fast reduction in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The results are based on online expert elicitation, a subsequent expert workshop, and a literature review. The STIs that could trigger the tipping of STE subsystems include 1) removing fossil-fuel subsidies and incentivizing decentralized energy generation (STE1, energy production and storage systems), 2) building carbon-neutral cities (STE2, human settlements), 3) divesting from assets linked to fossil fuels (STE3, financial markets), 4) revealing the moral implications of fossil fuels (STE4, norms and value systems), 5) strengthening climate education and engagement (STE5, education system), and 6) disclosing information on greenhouse gas emissions (STE6, information feedbacks). Our research reveals important areas of focus for larger-scale empirical and modeling efforts to better understand the potentials of harnessing social tipping dynamics for climate change mitigation. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/164335
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作者单位: Otto, I.M., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Donges, J.F., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 11419, Sweden; Cremades, R., Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, 20095, Germany; Bhowmik, A., Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 11419, Sweden, Risk and Environmental Studies, Karlstad University, Karlstad, SE 651 88, Sweden; Hewitt, R.J., Information and Computational Sciences Group, James Hutton Institute, Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen, AB15 8QH, United Kingdom, Observatorio para una Cultura del Territorio, Madrid, 28012, Spain; Lucht, W., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Department of Geography, Humboldt University, Berlin, 10099, Germany, Integrative Research Institute on Transformations of Human–Environment Systems, Humboldt University, Berlin, 10099, Germany; Rockström, J., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 11419, Sweden; Allerberger, F., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Department of Geography, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, 6020, Austria; McCaffrey, M., UN Climate Change community for Education, Communication and Outreach Stakeholders (ECOS), Kisbágyon, 3046, Hungary; Doe, S.S.P., GeoSustainability Consulting, Adabraka-Accra, Ghana; Lenferna, A., Department of Philosophy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-3350, United States; Morán, N., Germinando Sociedad Cooperativa Madrid, Madrid, 28012, Spain, Foro de Transiciones, Madrid, 28011, Spain; van Vuuren, D.P., Climate, Air and Energy, PBL Netherlands Environmental Agency, Den Haag, 2594 AV, Netherlands, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University, Utrecht, 3584 CB, Netherlands; Schellnhuber, H.J., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Department of Earth System Science, School of Science, Tsinghua University, Haidian District, Beijing, 100084, China

Recommended Citation:
Otto I.M.,Donges J.F.,Cremades R.,et al. Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2020-01-01,117(5)
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