| DOI: | 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111807
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| 论文题名: | On some economic principles of the energy transition |
| 作者: | Blazquez J.; Fuentes R.; Manzano B.
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| 刊名: | Energy Policy
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| ISSN: | 03014215
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| 出版年: | 2020
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| 卷: | 147 | | 语种: | 英语
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| 中文关键词: | Energy transition
; Policies and markets
; Renewable energy
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| 英文关键词: | Commerce
; Accurate prediction
; Business opportunities
; Consumer preferences
; Economic principle
; Liberalized electricity market
; New business models
; Technological perspective
; Technology improvement
; Investments
; alternative energy
; demand-side management
; electricity generation
; energy market
; energy policy
; energy use
; renewable resource
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| 英文摘要: | Energy transitions are complex processes difficult to characterize using a small number of features. We provide a simple framework for the energy transition, pointing out that some scenarios have a higher probability. The document is organized around four key propositions: (i) the current energy transition is driven by policies rather than by technology improvements; (ii) the energy transition disrupts liberalized electricity markets and undermines their economic foundation; (iii) given the current technologies and technological perspectives, the energy transition to renewable sources is going to be incomplete; (iv) there is a change in consumer preferences for cleaner energy, demanding new business models. These propositions lead to the following consequences: (a) the outcome in terms of electricity prices and energy production will depend on the policies applied, as there are multiple possible policies and paths of energy transition; (b) a complete transition based on renewable energy may be technically possible, but difficult to manage in liberalized markets, requiring a new design; (c) there is a change in consumers preferences towards decarbonized energy, creating new business opportunities and jeopardizing traditional business models. It is difficult to make accurate predictions on the energy transition, but we provide general guidelines for policymakers, companies and investors. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167040
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, Spain; EGADE Business School, Spain; Universidad de Vigo, Vigo, Spain
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Blazquez J.,Fuentes R.,Manzano B.. On some economic principles of the energy transition[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,147
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