globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111334
论文题名:
Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world
作者: Brand C.; Anable J.; Ketsopoulou I.; Watson J.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 139
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Cars ; Decarbonising transport ; Disruption ; Lifestyle change ; Net zero ; Vans
英文关键词: Air quality ; Carbon ; Climate change ; Fossil fuels ; Public policy ; Railroad cars ; Roads and streets ; Trucks ; Decarbonising ; Disruption ; Lifestyle change ; Net zero ; Vans ; Road vehicles ; automobile ; carbon emission ; emission control ; energy efficiency ; energy policy ; environmental economics ; lifestyle ; scenario analysis ; social change ; transportation ; United Kingdom
英文摘要: The phasing out of conventional fossil fuel road vehicles is one of a number of potentially disruptive transport and energy policies. The implied technical substitution alone may be too slow to contribute meaningfully to meeting ‘net zero’ carbon reduction targets. This paper uses established modelling techniques and prospective scenario analyses in a UK case study to investigate what the impacts might be if we were more ambitious, how much disruption is needed to meet climate goals, the role of lifestyle and social change, and the potential implications for key actors in transport energy systems. Existing policies may neither hit carbon reduction targets nor make the early gains needed for a Paris-compliant trajectory. Deeper and earlier reductions in carbon and air quality emissions can be achieved by more ambitious but largely non-disruptive change of a 2030 phase out that includes (plug-in) hybrids. The earlier phase outs combined with lower demand for mobility and car ownership would make significant contributions to an emissions pathway that is both Paris compliant and meets urban air quality goals. Some disruption for technology providers, business and government can be expected in the more ambitious cases. The paper concludes by discussing key policy implications and recommendations. © 2020 The Authors
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167045
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作者单位: University of Oxford and UK Energy Research Centre, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY, United Kingdom; Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds and UK Energy Research Centre, 34-40 University Road, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom; University College London and UK Energy Research Centre, Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London, WC1H 0NN, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Brand C.,Anable J.,Ketsopoulou I.,et al. Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,139
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