globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111750
论文题名:
Impact of unconventional natural gas development on regional water resources and market supply in China from the perspective of game analysis
作者: Chen Y.; Li J.; Lu H.; Yang Y.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 145
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Game-based supply strategies ; Oligopoly mechanism ; Shale gas development ; Unconventional natural gas ; Water resource constraint
英文关键词: Competition ; Gas fuel manufacture ; Gases ; Groundwater ; Groundwater pollution ; Groundwater resources ; Natural gas ; Risk assessment ; River pollution ; Shale gas ; Surface waters ; Wastewater reclamation ; Water recycling ; Estimated ultimate recoveries ; Government subsidies ; Regional water resources ; Resource Constraint ; Resources consumption ; Stackelberg Games ; Substitution factor ; Unconventional natural gas ; Gas industry ; energy market ; energy resource ; game theory ; natural gas ; resource management ; shale gas ; water resource ; China
英文摘要: This study presents a detailed framework for evaluating water resource constraint and game-based supply strategies of unconventional and conventional natural gases in China. Surface-water production pressure and groundwater-pollution risk level are used to measure the extent of water resource constraint on shale gas development. Cournot and Stackelberg game models are applied to illustrate the oligopoly mechanism between unconventional and conventional natural gas manufacturing. A subsidy multiplier model is then proposed to identify the impact of government subsidy on different game strategies. Results indicate that high amounts of estimated ultimate recovery and recycling wastewater would significantly reduce water resources consumption during shale gas development. An increased subsidy coefficient would increase the amount of unconventional natural gas but decrease the amount of conventional natural gas. However, the majority of subsidy multiplier values would be less than 1, implying an inconspicuous effect of the subsidy. Moreover, the equilibrium production of unconventional natural gas in the Cournot and Stackelberg game models would increase with the increased substitution factor m1 but decrease with the increased substitution factor m2. Conversely, the high amount of equilibrium production of conventional natural gas would increase the substitution factor m2 but reduce the substitution factor m1 within these two models. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167075
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: School of Economics and Management, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin, 300401, China; Hebei Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Ecological Construction, College of Resource and Environment Science, Hebei Normal University, Shijiazhuang, 050024, China; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100101, China; School of Renewable Energy, North China Electric Power UniversityBeijing 102206, China

Recommended Citation:
Chen Y.,Li J.,Lu H.,et al. Impact of unconventional natural gas development on regional water resources and market supply in China from the perspective of game analysis[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,145
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