DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111277
论文题名: A participatory stakeholder process for evaluating sustainable energy transition scenarios
作者: Höfer T. ; Madlener R.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 139 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Energy scenarios
; Group decision making
; MAUT
; Value-Focused Thinking
英文关键词: Decision theory
; Energy conservation
; Greenhouse gases
; Group theory
; K-means clustering
; Transition flow
; Decision making process
; Energy scenarios
; Group Decision Making
; K-means clustering techniques
; MAUT
; Multi-attribute utility theory
; Policy recommendations
; Value-focused thinking
; Decision making
; decision making
; energy policy
; participatory approach
; scenario analysis
; stakeholder
; Germany
英文摘要: This paper presents an evaluation of four energy transition scenarios under consideration of multiple stakeholder opinions. We construct a multi-criteria group decision model that applies Value-Focused Thinking to construct a holistic objective system and uses Multi-Attribute Utility Theory to evaluate the energy transition scenarios. Although the individual scenario evaluations show that the opinions of the stakeholders towards a sustainable energy transition differ largely, we are able to identify three main strands of opinions among the considered stakeholders. By bundling the stakeholder interests by employing a k-means clustering technique, we derive detailed policy recommendations for a sustainable energy transition. For the case of Germany, these are to reduce GHG and pollutant emissions and at the same time enable citizens’ participation, limit the visual impact on landscapes, and ensuring internationally comparable energy-related political frameworks for the economy. For the case of a sustainable energy transition in Germany, we find that the stakeholders considered prefer either the highly ambitious Climate Protection scenario (Scenario B) or the Pan-European scenario (Scenario C). The main novelties of the study are that stakeholders are included in every step of the decision-making process and that very comprehensive energy transition scenarios, comprising the electricity, transport, heat, and industry sectors, are considered. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167240
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Institute for Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN), School of Business and Economics / E.ON Energy Research Center, RWTH Aachen University, Mathieustrasse 10, Aachen, 52074, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Höfer T.,Madlener R.. A participatory stakeholder process for evaluating sustainable energy transition scenarios[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,139