globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111476
论文题名:
Linear and nonlinear Granger causality between electricity production and economic performance in Mexico
作者: Massa R.; Rosellón J.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 142
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Economic growth ; Electricity production ; Granger causality ; Mexican energy policy ; Time series analysis
英文关键词: Energy policy ; Product design ; Statistical tests ; Causal relations ; Design and implementations ; Economic performance ; Electricity production ; Electricity sector ; Granger Causality ; Gross domestic products ; Transmission capacities ; Electric power generation ; economic impact ; electricity generation ; electricity industry ; energy policy ; Granger causality test ; Gross Domestic Product ; industrial performance ; Mexico [North America]
英文摘要: Understanding the Granger causality directions between electricity production (EP) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is helpful for policymakers in order to design, redesign, and implement effective energy policies. Although there are plenty of studies on this issue, no consistent conclusion about said relationship exists. In this paper, we provide an updated analysis for the case of Mexico in the context of the design and implementation of a new energy policy. We employ three tests, 2 linear and one nonlinear, and find no evidence of causal relation, in a Granger sense, between EP and GDP for the 1965–2018 period. Our results suggest that Mexican policymakers should consider enriching the bill by further designing policies that directly seek to promote a self-sufficient electricity sector by enhancing generation output by private actors and transmission capacity. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167345
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: CONACYT-CIDE, Interdisciplinary Program for Studies in Regulation and Economic Competition, Carretera México-Toluca 3655, Col. Lomas de Santa Fe, Mexico City, 01210, Mexico; Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE), National Laboratory of Public Policy, Carretera México-Toluca 3655, Col. Lomas de Santa Fe, Mexico City, 01210, Mexico; Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE), Department of Economics, Carretera México-Toluca 3655, Col. Lomas de Santa Fe, Mexico City, 01210, Mexico; DIW Berlin, Department of Energy, Transportation, Environment, Mohrenstraße 58, Berlin, 10117, Germany; Universidad Panamericana, Centro de Regulación Energética y Economía del Desarrollo (CREED-UP), Mexico City, Mexico; Center for Energy Studies, Baker Institute for Public Policy, Rice University, Houston, TX, United States

Recommended Citation:
Massa R.,Rosellón J.. Linear and nonlinear Granger causality between electricity production and economic performance in Mexico[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,142
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