DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111885
论文题名: Fuel riots: definition, evidence and policy implications for a new type of energy-related conflict
作者: Natalini D. ; Bravo G. ; Newman E.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 147 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Energy policy
; Energy protests
; Energy security
; Environmental conflict
; Fuel price
; Fuel riots
英文关键词: Costs
; Developing countries
; Fuels
; Petroleum analysis
; Public policy
; Carbon taxes
; Economic performance
; Fuel prices
; Policy implications
; Political instability
; Price increase
; Role of state
; Socio-economic conditions
; Crude oil price
; commodity price
; energy policy
; fuel
; international conflict
; popular protest
; security
; socioeconomic conditions
; state role
英文摘要: ‘Fuel riots’ are a distinct type of energy-related conflict. We provide the first fuel riots database and explore their social, economic and environmental drivers. The analysis demonstrates links between fuel riots and high international crude oil prices in countries characterised by weak state capacity, deficient governance, fuel scarcity and poor economic performance. We suggest a potential causal pathway for fuel riots: when international fuel prices spike, net fuel-importing countries bear higher costs. If these countries are politically unstable and their government inefficient, the likelihood of fuel riots is high. Wealthier countries can absorb price increases and maintain subsidies, as opposed to poorer societies where fuel riots are more likely. Our findings demonstrate the role of state capacity and socio-economic conditions in enabling conflict, and will inform policy by identifying fertile ground for fuel riots, i.e. societies likely to be affected by increases in fuel prices due to scarcity and climate action (such as carbon taxes). We propose that policies which better control international prices and action designed to reduce political instability in vulnerable countries are key to preventing fuel riots. Fuel subsidy reform must anticipate popular opposition and mitigate the impact upon vulnerable populations in order to reduce the likelihood of instability and minimise hardship. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167375
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, CB1 1PT, United Kingdom; Department of Social Studies, Linnaeus University, Universitetsplatsen 1, Växjö, 35195, Sweden; Linnaeus University Center for Data Intensive Sciences & Applications (DISA@LNU), Växjö, Sweden; School of Politics and International Studies, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Natalini D.,Bravo G.,Newman E.. Fuel riots: definition, evidence and policy implications for a new type of energy-related conflict[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,147