globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111645
论文题名:
A stronger energy strategy for a new era of economic development in Vietnam: A quantitative assessment
作者: Nong D.; Nguyen D.B.; Nguyen T.H.; Wang C.; Siriwardana M.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 144
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Computable general equilibrium (CGE) ; Energy policy ; GTAP-E-Power ; Low-carbon economy ; Power development plan ; Vietnam
英文关键词: Developing countries ; Economics ; Energy security ; Fossil fuels ; Population statistics ; Detailed modeling ; Energy strategy ; Energy supplies ; Low carbon energies ; Population growth ; Potential impacts ; Quantitative assessments ; Security threats ; Economic and social effects ; alternative energy ; economic development ; energy market ; energy policy ; future prospect ; power generation ; quantitative analysis ; Viet Nam
英文摘要: Energy security has been a major concern in developing countries because of rapid economic development and population growth, low power generation capacity, and unwell-developed transmission infrastructure. Vietnam in this context has been under energy security threats for more than a decade and is currently having a new power policy to strongly develop power generation and distribution networks. It is expected that the country's economy is able to develop substantially due to massively additional energy supply once completing the plants and distribution networks but the likely impacts are still undefined. This paper extends an economic electricity-detailed model to examine the potential impacts of such a new power policy in Vietnam. We find that the policy will decrease the prices of both fossil-based and renewable-based electricity significantly by 40%–78% under a 2030 target scenario, benefiting all sectors in the economy to substitute for fossil fuels. Households are particularly benefited as evidenced by 5.64%–19.19% increases in per-capita utility. Overall, the Vietnamese economy is significantly advantaged with real GDP increasing by 5.44%–24.83% over different scenarios, which are much higher than the findings in other countries. More importantly, the policy moves the country to a low-carbon energy structure in the near future. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167391
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作者单位: Institute for Food and Resource Economics, Center for Development Research, University of Bonn, Germany; Agriculture and Food, The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Australia; Faculty of International Economics, Foreign Trade University, Hanoi, Viet Nam; Department of Soil and Crop Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States; Faculty of Economics and Management, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou, China; UNE Business School, University of New England, Armidale, NSW, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Nong D.,Nguyen D.B.,Nguyen T.H.,et al. A stronger energy strategy for a new era of economic development in Vietnam: A quantitative assessment[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,144
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