globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111681
论文题名:
Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate
作者: Tu Q.; Mo J.; Betz R.; Cui L.; Fan Y.; Liu Y.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 144
语种: 英语
中文关键词: China ; Grid parity ; Solar PV power ; Tradable Green Certificate (TGC)
英文关键词: Electric power transmission networks ; Photovoltaic cells ; Solar energy ; Coal-fired power ; Future energies ; Installed capacity ; Learning curves ; Levelized cost of electricities ; Power projects ; Solar photovoltaic power ; Tradable green certificates ; Solar power generation ; certification ; coal-fired power plant ; data set ; electricity supply ; energy policy ; panel data ; photovoltaic system ; solar power ; China
英文摘要: Achieving grid parity of solar photovoltaic (PV) power in China has great implication for the future energy system transformation. In this work whether and when, and under what conditions the grid parity can be achieved are assessed, and especially the role of Tradable Green Certificate (TGC) policy in achieving the grid parity is explored. We first estimate the future levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of solar PV power using learning curve method, and then by comparing it with on-grid price of coal-fired power, the grid parity of solar PV power is determined. Specifically, using a panel dataset consisting of information of 541 solar PV power projects over the period of 2010–2016, the learning rate of PV power is estimated, based on which the future LCOEs are estimated. The results show that the LCOE of PV power decreases from 0.4631 CNY/kWh in 2018 to 0.3345 CNY/kWh in 2030 under the baseline scenario of the cumulative installed capacity, and the grid-parity of solar PV power may be achieved between 2023 and 2025. With the TGC policy being implemented, the grid parity can be achieved earlier. Specifically, with the TGCs price reaching 100 CNY, the grid parity can be achieved in 2020. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167534
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: School of Finance, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin, 300222, China; Center for Energy & Environmental Policy Research, Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; Center for Energy and the Environment, School of Management and Law, Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Winterthur, 8400, Switzerland; School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, 233030, China; School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China; School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China

Recommended Citation:
Tu Q.,Mo J.,Betz R.,et al. Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,144
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