globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110907
论文题名:
Global competition dynamics of fossil fuels and renewable energy under climate policies and peak oil: A behavioural model
作者: Zeppini P.; van den Bergh J.C.J.M.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 136
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Climate change ; Energy policy ; Externalities ; Learning ; Peak oil
英文关键词: Budget control ; Carbon ; Climate models ; Commerce ; Competition ; Energy policy ; Fossil fuels ; Stochastic models ; Stochastic systems ; Capacity constraints ; Competitive dynamics ; Externalities ; Innovation potential ; Learning ; Low-carbon energy systems ; Peak Oil ; Stochastic decision models ; Climate change ; alternative energy ; climate change ; competition (economics) ; decision analysis ; energy policy ; environmental policy ; fossil fuel ; learning
英文摘要: We develop a stochastic decision model to analyse the global competitive dynamics of fossil fuels and renewable energy. It describes coal, oil/gas, solar and wind. These differ not only in pollution intensities but also in profitability and innovation potential. The model accounts for the effect of learning curves, path-dependence and climate policies. Adoption shares endogenously affect agents' utility through increasing returns to adoption, learning, and a ‘peak oil’ capacity constraint. We find that peak oil induces a transition to coal rather than renewable energy, which worsens climate change. By introducing climate policies - such as a carbon tax, market adoption or R&D subsidies for renewables, and eliminating existing subsidies for fossil fuels - we identify potential transition patterns to a low-carbon energy system. Model analysis clarifies two main features of climate policies: which ones solve the climate problem, i.e. do not surpass the critical carbon budget; and how uncertain or variable are final market shares of energy sources. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167625
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Université Côte d'Azur, CNRS, GREDEG, France; Department of Economics, University of Bath, United Kingdom; ICREA, Barcelona, Spain; Institute of Environmental Science and Technology, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain; School of Business and Economics & Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Zeppini P.,van den Bergh J.C.J.M.. Global competition dynamics of fossil fuels and renewable energy under climate policies and peak oil: A behavioural model[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,136
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Zeppini P.]'s Articles
[van den Bergh J.C.J.M.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Zeppini P.]'s Articles
[van den Bergh J.C.J.M.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Zeppini P.]‘s Articles
[van den Bergh J.C.J.M.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.