globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111733
论文题名:
Is it time to launch grid parity in the Chinese solar photovoltaic industry? Evidence from 335 cities
作者: Zhang M.M.; Zhang C.; Liu L.Y.; Zhou D.Q.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2020
卷: 147
语种: 英语
中文关键词: 335 cities ; Electricity price mechanisms ; Photovoltaic grid parity ; Technological progress ; Unsubsidized unit profit
英文关键词: Commerce ; Costs ; Distributed projects ; Electricity prices ; Learning curves ; Market-based mechanisms ; Solar photovoltaics ; Solar pv industries ; Technological advances ; Technological progress ; Solar energy ; electricity generation ; energy market ; energy policy ; photovoltaic system ; price dynamics ; solar power ; subsidy system ; technological development ; China ; Gansu ; Nei Monggol ; Ningxia Huizu ; Xinjiang Uygur
英文摘要: This study evaluates grid parity in the Chinese solar PV industry by calculating the unsubsidized unit profits (UUPs) of solar PV projects in 335 Chinese cities. Furthermore, the effects of technological advances and various electricity price mechanisms on grid parity are explored. We consider the differences between centralized grid-connected and distributed projects. Two-factor learning curves are used to forecast technological progress and two kinds of electricity price mechanisms—government-regulated and market-based—are also brought into analyses. The results indicate the infeasibility of implementing complete grid parity regardless of the type of project. However, centralized grid-connected projects in 5 cities and distributed projects in 129 cities could implement pilot grid parity. On the whole, centralized grid-connected project has a lower benefit performance than distributed projects. Resource Zone I, which consists of Ningxia Province and several western cities in Gansu, Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, has the best benefit performance of three resource areas. Technological advances and variations in electricity prices under both mechanisms could improve the UUPs but raising them above zero in all cities would still be impossible. The market prices of electricity under market-based mechanisms may generally have greater impacts than do government-regulated mechanisms on the benefit performances throughout the whole nation. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167631
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作者单位: College of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao, 266580, China; College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211106, China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang M.M.,Zhang C.,Liu L.Y.,et al. Is it time to launch grid parity in the Chinese solar photovoltaic industry? Evidence from 335 cities[J]. Energy Policy,2020-01-01,147
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