DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112023
论文题名: The total cost of electric vehicle ownership: A consumer-oriented study of China's post-subsidy era
作者: Ouyang D. ; Zhou S. ; Ou X.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 149 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Cost advantage
; Electric vehicle cost
; EV subsidy
; Total cost of ownership
英文关键词: Battery electric vehicles
; Costs
; Crude oil price
; Fleet operations
; Sales
; Electric Vehicles (EVs)
; Incentive policies
; Internal combustion engine vehicles
; Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles
; Purchase decision
; Purchase intention
; Smooth transitions
; Total cost of ownership
; Plug-in hybrid vehicles
; consumption behavior
; cost analysis
; electric vehicle
; electrification
; energy policy
; policy making
; subsidy system
; China
英文摘要: The withdrawal of the purchase subsidy and the spread of Covid-19 have had a significant effect on Chinese consumers' purchase intentions regarding electric vehicles (EVs). Therefore, it is worthwhile analyzing the factors influencing EV purchase decisions from the consumer's perspective. We use a consumer-oriented model to analyze the total cost of ownership over 5- and 10-year holding periods in China for internal combustion engine vehicles, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). We include consumer usage habits and non-monetary costs to reflect consumer characteristics. The results show that the small BEVs will achieve parity before 2025, while medium-sized and large BEVs will do so around 2030. Regarding PHEVs, large and medium-sized models show better performance. Even though BEV and PHEV purchase costs will fall by 31%–36% and 16%–18%, respectively, between 2020 and 2030, most EV models will still not reach purchase cost parity by 2030. Incentive policies will have a significant impact, and oil prices are likely to have a huge impact on the time until EVs reach parity. Thus, policy-makers should introduce incentive policies aimed at ensuring a smooth transition to the electrification of China's vehicle fleet. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/167961
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Tsinghua University—Zhang Jiagang Joint Institute for Hydrogen Energy and Lithium-Ion Battery Technology, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Tsinghua-Rio Tinto Joint Research Centre for Resources, Energy and Sustainable Development, Laboratory for Low Carbon Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; China Automotive Energy Research Center, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
Recommended Citation:
Ouyang D.,Zhou S.,Ou X.. The total cost of electric vehicle ownership: A consumer-oriented study of China's post-subsidy era[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,149